Sport Picks

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Melbo vs Tromso 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6 2020
Sat, Oct 10, 2020
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Melbo host Tromso 2 in the Division 3 - Group 6 2020. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Tromso 2 have shipped 1.97 goals a game lately, while Melbo have conceded 1.87 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Tromso 2 slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 26, 2021, ending 1:4. Model xG sits at 1.60 vs 1.24, favoring Tromso 2. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Melbo
20%
Draws
64%
Tromso 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tromso 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tromso 2 come out ahead of Melbo on wins alone.
  • Tromso 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Melbo Clean Sheet 19%
Tromso 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melbo Tromso 2
Matches Played 15 29
Wins 4 8
Draws 2 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2021 Division 3 - Group 6
Melbo vs Tromso 2
1:4
Oct 10, 2020 Division 3 - Group 6
Melbo vs Tromso 2
0:0
Sep 26, 2020 Division 3 - Group 6
Melbo vs Tromso 2
0:0
Aug 18, 2019 Division 3 - Group 6
Melbo vs Tromso 2
1:2
May 4, 2019 Division 3 - Group 6
Tromso 2 vs Melbo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melbo 10 / 100
Tromso 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melbo Tromso 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tromso 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tromso 2 let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Melbo's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 15 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Tromso 2 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tromso 2
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Melbo

(Home)
13 Apr
Melbo
0 : 1
Sortland
30 Oct
Melbo
1 : 3
Bodo/Glimt 2
23 Oct
Ullern
4 : 0
Melbo
17 Oct
Melbo
1 : 1
Skeid 2
10 Oct
Nordstrand
3 : 1
Melbo
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Tromso 2

(Away)
21 Sept
Tromso 2
6 : 0
Kongsvinger 2
14 Sept
Skjetten
3 : 2
Tromso 2
06 Sept
Tromso 2
0 : 1
Harstad
30 Aug
Skedsmo
3 : 1
Tromso 2
17 Aug
Bossekop
3 : 3
Tromso 2
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