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Melbourne City U20 W vs Alamein FC W

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Women
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AI Match Summary

Alamein FC W in this NPL Victoria Women matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alamein FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Melbourne City U20 W
6%
Draws
90%
Alamein FC W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alamein FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Melbourne City U20 W haven't matched Alamein FC W's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Alamein FC W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Melbourne City U20 W Clean Sheet 10%
Alamein FC W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melbourne City U20 W Alamein FC W
Matches Played 21 22
Wins 2 11
Draws 1 3
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 3.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
Alamein FC W vs Melbourne City U20 W
2:1
Apr 7, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
Melbourne City U20 W vs Alamein FC W
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melbourne City U20 W 10 / 100
Alamein FC W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melbourne City U20 W Alamein FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Melbourne City U20 W found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (21 games).

Alamein FC W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 22 matches.

Alamein FC W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Melbourne City U20 W VS Alamein FC W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Melbourne City U20 W

(Home)
25 Jul
Bentleigh Greens W
2 : 0
Melbourne City U20 W
18 Jul
Melbourne City U20 W
1 : 3
Essendon Royals W
04 Jul
Keilor Park W
3 : 1
Melbourne City U20 W
27 Jun
Melbourne City U20 W
1 : 6
Avondale FC W
20 Jun
Bulleen Lions W
5 : 0
Melbourne City U20 W
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Alamein FC W

(Away)
24 Jul
Box Hill W
2 : 0
Alamein FC W
18 Jul
Alamein FC W
1 : 1
South Melbourne W
11 Jul
Heidelberg Utd W
1 : 2
Alamein FC W
04 Jul
Alamein FC W
2 : 0
Preston Lions W
26 Jun
Bentleigh Greens W
1 : 1
Alamein FC W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Box Hill W22162459:2450
2Essendon Royals W22152563:2447
3Bulleen Lions W22144453:2146
4Avondale FC W22142655:2244
5Boroondara Eagles W22131847:3440
6South Melbourne W22116543:2239
7Alamein FC W22113828:2436
8Spring Hills W22821226:3226
9Melbourne Victory U20 W21821135:4626
10Heidelberg Utd W22651132:4423
11Preston Lions W22651126:4123
12Keilor Park W22651122:3823
13Bentleigh Greens W22221817:748
14Melbourne City U20 W21211820:807
Promotion - NPL Victoria Women (Play Offs)