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Melbourne City U21 vs Oakleigh Cannons

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Casey Fields
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Ballah R.
41' Event
Diaz L.

AI Match Summary

Melbourne City U21 host Oakleigh Cannons in the NPL Victoria. This one's hard to separate. Melbourne City U21 have averaged 2.25 scored and 0.63 conceded recently, against Oakleigh Cannons's 2.13 scored and 0.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Melbourne City U21 have won 0 to Oakleigh Cannons's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 19, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.38) point toward Oakleigh Cannons. Oakleigh Cannons in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Melbourne City U21
40%
Draws
29%
Oakleigh Cannons
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Oakleigh Cannons has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Melbourne City U21.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in NPL Victoria provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Melbourne City U21 Clean Sheet 17%
Oakleigh Cannons Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melbourne City U21 Oakleigh Cannons
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 14 17
Draws 6 8
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 2.25 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 NPL Victoria
Oakleigh Cannons vs Melbourne City U21
3:1
Mar 8, 2026 NPL Victoria
Melbourne City U21 vs Oakleigh Cannons
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Melbourne City U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ballah R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Oakleigh Cannons Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melbourne City U21 31 / 100
Oakleigh Cannons 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melbourne City U21 Oakleigh Cannons

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Melbourne City U21 scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Oakleigh Cannons let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Melbourne City U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Oakleigh Cannons lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Melbourne City U21 VS Oakleigh Cannons
2.25 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Oakleigh Cannons20135243:1844
2Hume City20124440:2440
3Avondale FC20111853:2734
4Preston Lions19122530:1632
5Heidelberg Utd2095633:2632
6South Melbourne20101931:3231
7Melbourne City U211986537:2230
8George Cross2069527:2827
9St Albans2065923:3623
10Dandenong City SC2075826:2722
11Altona Magic20641024:3622
12Bentleigh Greens20441218:4416
13Dandenong Thunder20431322:4315
14Green Gully20241414:4210