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Melbourne Victory U20 W vs Essendon Royals W

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Women
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AI Match Summary

The NPL Victoria Women game between Melbourne Victory U20 W and Essendon Royals W finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Essendon Royals W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Melbourne Victory U20 W
6%
Draws
90%
Essendon Royals W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Essendon Royals W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Essendon Royals W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Essendon Royals W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NPL Victoria Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Melbourne Victory U20 W Clean Sheet 10%
Essendon Royals W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melbourne Victory U20 W Essendon Royals W
Matches Played 21 22
Wins 8 15
Draws 2 2
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.13 2.88
Goals Conceded 2 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
Essendon Royals W vs Melbourne Victory U20 W
6:0
Apr 19, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
Melbourne Victory U20 W vs Essendon Royals W
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melbourne Victory U20 W 10 / 100
Essendon Royals W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melbourne Victory U20 W Essendon Royals W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Melbourne Victory U20 W scored in 81% of their last 21 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Essendon Royals W let in goals in 68% of their last 22 matches.

Melbourne Victory U20 W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Melbourne Victory U20 W VS Essendon Royals W
1.13 Goals Scored 2.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Melbourne Victory U20 W

(Home)
25 Jul
Essendon Royals W
6 : 0
Melbourne Victory U20 W
19 Jul
Boroondara Eagles W
4 : 2
Melbourne Victory U20 W
04 Jul
Melbourne Victory U20 W
1 : 5
Box Hill W
27 Jun
Keilor Park W
2 : 1
Melbourne Victory U20 W
20 Jun
South Melbourne W
1 : 1
Melbourne Victory U20 W
Page 1 of 5

Essendon Royals W

(Away)
25 Jul
Essendon Royals W
6 : 0
Melbourne Victory U20 W
18 Jul
Melbourne City U20 W
1 : 3
Essendon Royals W
11 Jul
Essendon Royals W
3 : 0
Keilor Park W
04 Jul
Avondale FC W
4 : 2
Essendon Royals W
27 Jun
Essendon Royals W
1 : 2
Bulleen Lions W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Box Hill W22162459:2450
2Essendon Royals W22152563:2447
3Bulleen Lions W22144453:2146
4Avondale FC W22142655:2244
5Boroondara Eagles W22131847:3440
6South Melbourne W22116543:2239
7Alamein FC W22113828:2436
8Spring Hills W22821226:3226
9Melbourne Victory U20 W21821135:4626
10Heidelberg Utd W22651132:4423
11Preston Lions W22651126:4123
12Keilor Park W22651122:3823
13Bentleigh Greens W22221817:748
14Melbourne City U20 W21211820:807
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