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Melchiorshausen vs Grohn Prediction & H2H Stats

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Oberliga Bremen 2016/2017
Melchiorshausen Logo

Melchiorshausen

6 - 1
FT
Grohn Logo

Grohn

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bremen 2016/2017 game between Melchiorshausen and Grohn finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Melchiorshausen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Melchiorshausen
30%
Draws
35%
Grohn
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Grohn have managed 1.43 goals a game lately — Melchiorshausen are scoring more at 1.53.
  • Melchiorshausen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Bremen 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Melchiorshausen Clean Sheet 16%
Grohn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melchiorshausen Grohn
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 5 2
Losses 18 21
Goals Scored 1.53 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.3 4.43
Expected Goals (xG) 3.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2017 Oberliga Bremen
Melchiorshausen vs Grohn
6:1
Nov 20, 2016 Oberliga Bremen
Grohn vs Melchiorshausen
3:1
Apr 10, 2010 Oberliga Bremen
Melchiorshausen vs Grohn
0:4
Oct 4, 2009 Oberliga Bremen
Grohn vs Melchiorshausen
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melchiorshausen 84 / 100
Grohn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melchiorshausen Grohn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Melchiorshausen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Grohn conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Melchiorshausen's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Melchiorshausen stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Melchiorshausen VS Grohn
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 5.13
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Melchiorshausen

(Home)
21 May
Melchiorshausen
6 : 1
Grohn
12 May
Oberneuland
0 : 0
Melchiorshausen
07 May
Leher
3 : 3
Melchiorshausen
29 Apr
Melchiorshausen
2 : 3
VfL Bremen
23 Apr
Habenhauser
0 : 0
Melchiorshausen
Page 1 of 6

Grohn

(Away)
26 Sept
BTS Neustadt
2 : 1
Grohn
20 Sept
Grohn
2 : 1
Werder Bremen III
13 Sept
ESC Geestemunde
4 : 3
Grohn
06 Sept
Grohn
2 : 5
Blumenthaler
30 Aug
Vatan Bremen
2 : 3
Grohn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bremer 30 29 1 0 140:15 88
2 Blumenthaler 30 23 3 4 90:38 72
3 Brinkumer 30 20 2 8 93:34 62
4 Schwachhausen 30 15 6 9 78:57 51
5 Werder Bremen III 30 15 3 12 80:58 48
6 Oberneuland 30 13 4 13 66:57 43
7 Aumund-Vegesack 30 13 3 14 66:69 42
8 Leher 30 12 5 13 66:71 41
9 BTS Neustadt 30 12 4 14 45:57 40
10 VfL Bremen 30 10 6 14 59:66 36
11 Habenhauser 30 9 8 13 46:64 35
12 ESC Geestemunde 30 11 2 17 54:88 35
13 Grolland 30 10 1 19 45:83 31
14 OSC Bremerhaven 30 8 4 18 51:87 28
15 Melchiorshausen 30 7 5 18 46:69 26
16 Grohn 30 4 1 25 33:145 13
Promotion - Oberliga Niedersachsen 2016/2017 (Promotion)