Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Melfi vs Cosenza

Italy Italy

Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

50'
Sub
Mungo D. In: Letizia A.
Out: Mungo D.
54'
Vicente
63'
Sub
D'Anna E. In: D'Orazio T.
Out: D'Anna E.

AI Match Summary

Cosenza in this Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cosenza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Melfi
20%
Draws
48%
Cosenza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cosenza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cosenza lately — more wins on the board than Melfi.
  • Win probability leans Melfi's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Melfi Clean Sheet 68%
Cosenza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melfi Cosenza
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 7 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.93 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2017 Serie C - Group C
Melfi vs Cosenza
0:2
Sep 14, 2016 Serie C - Group C
Cosenza vs Melfi
3:0
Apr 17, 2016 Serie C - Group C
Melfi vs Cosenza
1:1
Dec 5, 2015 Serie C - Group C
Cosenza vs Melfi
1:0
May 9, 2015 Serie C - Group C
Melfi vs Cosenza
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Melfi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Cosenza Compare

Top Goalscorer Baclet A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melfi 59 / 100
Cosenza 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melfi Cosenza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Melfi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Melfi found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Cosenza conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Cosenza registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Melfi VS Cosenza
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.63
33% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Melfi

(Home)
06 Sept
Real Normanna
2 : 0
Melfi
28 May
Akragas
1 : 1
Melfi
21 May
Melfi
0 : 0
Akragas
07 May
Melfi
0 : 3
Matera
30 Apr
Foggia
1 : 0
Melfi
Page 1 of 6

Cosenza

(Away)
07 Sept
Catania
4 : 0
Cosenza
02 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 0
Cosenza
29 Aug
Cosenza
1 : 2
Potenza
22 Aug
Audace Cerignola
3 : 1
Cosenza
16 Aug
Crotone
0 : 2
Cosenza
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Foggia 38 25 10 3 70:29 85
2 Lecce 38 21 11 6 62:36 74
3 Matera 38 18 11 9 71:44 65
4 Juve Stabia 38 18 10 10 65:43 64
5 Virtus Francavilla 38 16 9 13 47:45 57
6 Siracusa 38 16 9 13 47:43 57
7 Cosenza 38 15 10 13 57:46 55
8 Paganese 38 14 9 15 51:45 50
9 Casertana 38 13 12 13 38:42 49
10 Fondi 38 11 17 10 49:46 49
11 Catania 38 14 12 12 40:36 47
12 Fidelis Andria 38 10 17 11 30:33 47
13 Reggina 38 10 15 13 44:54 45
14 ACR Messina 38 12 10 16 38:52 44
15 Monopoli 38 9 15 14 42:54 42
16 Akragas 38 9 12 17 30:47 39
17 Vibonese 38 9 12 17 27:46 39
18 Catanzaro 38 9 11 18 36:49 38
19 Melfi 38 9 8 21 38:68 34
20 Taranto 38 6 12 20 25:49 30
Relegation - Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 (Play Out)
Promotion - Serie B 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)