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Melhus vs Nardo

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Totland P.
36' Event
Totland P.
39' Event
Mugishu J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 3 - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Melhus
6%
Draws
4%
Nardo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Melhus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Melhus have won more games recently than Nardo.
  • Melhus are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Melhus Clean Sheet 15%
Nardo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melhus Nardo
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 20 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2.13 2.13
Goals Conceded 1 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Melhus vs Nardo
2:2
Aug 9, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Melhus vs Nardo
1:0
Jun 15, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Nardo vs Melhus
2:0
Aug 10, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Melhus vs Nardo
0:2
Jun 15, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Nardo vs Melhus
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Melhus Compare

Top Goalscorer Totland P.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Nardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Mugishu J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Halvorsen K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melhus 84 / 100
Nardo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melhus Nardo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Melhus found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (32 games).

Nardo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Melhus stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Melhus VS Nardo
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Melhus

(Home)
25 Jun
Strindheim
2 : 1
Melhus
19 Jun
Melhus
1 : 1
Rosenborg 2
14 Jun
Byasen
3 : 2
Melhus
30 May
Melhus
3 : 0
Molde 2
22 May
Orkla
0 : 2
Melhus
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Nardo

(Away)
27 Jun
Ranheim 2
5 : 3
Nardo
20 Jun
Nardo
2 : 0
Ntnui
13 Jun
Herd
4 : 1
Nardo
30 May
Nardo
1 : 1
Rosenborg 2
25 May
Strindheim
4 : 1
Nardo
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