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Melhus vs Tiller

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Eid M.
26' Event
Bjornbeth M.
48' Event
Stobakk S.

AI Match Summary

Melhus in this Division 3 - Group 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Melhus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Melhus
15%
Draws
12%
Tiller
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Melhus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Melhus have won more games recently than Tiller.
  • Melhus are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Melhus here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Melhus Clean Sheet 68%
Tiller Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melhus Tiller
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 19 1
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 25
Goals Scored 2.6 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.49 3.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Tiller vs Melhus
3:6
Jun 21, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Melhus vs Tiller
3:1
Aug 31, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Tiller vs Melhus
0:6
Jun 8, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Melhus vs Tiller
3:0
Oct 16, 2022 Division 3 - Group 5
Tiller vs Melhus
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Melhus Compare

Top Goalscorer Eid M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bjornbeth M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Tiller Compare

Top Goalscorer Kulego J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melhus 95 / 100
Tiller 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melhus Tiller

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Melhus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Melhus's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Tiller's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.80 goals per match.

Difficult form: Tiller registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Melhus VS -
2.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Melhus

(Home)
12 Sept
Melhus
1 : 2
Volda
05 Sept
Herd
1 : 4
Melhus
30 Aug
Melhus
0 : 1
Strindheim
22 Aug
Melhus
0 : 3
Stjordals Blink
15 Aug
Nardo
1 : 3
Melhus
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Tiller

(Away)
26 Oct
Byasen
3 : 2
Tiller
18 Oct
Tiller
1 : 1
Surnadal
11 Oct
FK Kvik
4 : 0
Tiller
06 Oct
Tiller
2 : 5
Rosenborg 2
27 Sept
Trygg/Lade
1 : 0
Tiller
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