Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Ruthin Town in this FA Cup 2017/2018 tie, finishing 0-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
15%
44%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ruthin Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ruthin Town lately — more wins on the board than Meliden.
- Model gives Meliden a 41% chance of winning this.
- Ruthin Town arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Ruthin Town, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Meliden Clean Sheet 20%
Ruthin Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Meliden | Ruthin Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 4 | 30 |
| Wins | 1 | 7 |
| Draws | 0 | 5 |
| Losses | 3 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.25 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.67 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 7, 2017 FAW Welsh Cup
Meliden vs Ruthin Town
0:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Meliden 40 / 100
Ruthin Town 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Meliden Ruthin Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Meliden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ruthin Town let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Ruthin Town's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Meliden scored in 25% of their last 4 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Ruthin Town
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Meliden
(Home) 26 Jun
Meliden
0 : 4 Prestatyn
07 Oct
Meliden
0 : 4 Ruthin Town
08 Nov
St. Asaph
1 : 0 Meliden
04 Oct
Rhydymwyn
0 : 3 Meliden
26 Jun
Meliden
0 : 4 Prestatyn
07 Oct
Meliden
0 : 4 Ruthin Town
Ruthin Town
(Away) 04 Sept
Ruthin Town
0 : 3 Caersws FC
31 Aug
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0 Ruthin Town
28 Aug
Ruthin Town
0 : 4 Mold Alexandra
22 Aug
Guilsfield
2 : 2 Ruthin Town
14 Aug
Ruthin Town
2 : 1 Denbigh
Page 1 of 6
31 Aug
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0 Ruthin Town
22 Aug
Guilsfield
2 : 2 Ruthin Town
07 Aug
Bala
2 : 1 Ruthin Town
03 Apr
Llandudno FC
5 : 2 Ruthin Town
07 Mar
Mold Alexandra
1 : 0 Ruthin Town
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
Penybont 1
Undy 0
Ynysygerwn 1
Monmouth 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Bow Street 0
Llanrwst United 0
Saltney Town 6
Briton Ferry 3
Goytre Utd 1
Caldicot 2
Goytre AFC 3
Ammanford Town 1
Aberdare Town 0
Taffs Well 2
Llantwit Major 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Llandudno FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Conwy Borough 5
Bodedern 1
Carno FC 0
Gresford 4
Prestatyn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brickfield Rangers 1
Chirk AAA FC 0
Meliden 0
Ruthin Town 4
Flint Town 3
Llanfair United 0
Llanrug 0
Llay Welfare 1
Llandudno Albion 3
Rhyl 2
Llanidloes Town 1
Buckley 2
Guilsfield 4
Mold Alexandra 0
Corwen 0
Holywell Town FC 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newtown -
Bangor City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bridgend Street 4
Machen 3
Rhayader 1
Cwmamman United 3
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caersws FC -
Prestatyn Sports -
Queens Park 0
Llanrhaeadr 3
Pontypridd United 2
Cambrian United 1
Pontyclun FC 0
Pencoed 1
Aberbargoed Buds 2
Port Talbot 0
Croesyceiliog FC 1
Haverfordwest 2
Llandudno Junction 3
Gaerwen 1
Holyhead 3
Denbigh 4
STM Sports 5
Afan Lido 2
Cardiff Corries 0
Penydarren 4
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caerphilly 4
Carmarthen Stars 1
Garden Village 3
Penrhyncoch 4
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Berriew FC 4
Abermule 0
Lex Glyndwr XI 1
Caernarfon 5
Porthmadog 3
Penyffordd 0
Mochdre Sports 1
Penley 2
Ton Pentre 2
Cardiff Draconians 1
Abergavenny Town 1
Panteg 3
Cwmbran Celtic 1
Caerau Ely 0
Aberaeron 1
Llanelli 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
1/32-finals
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
Penybont 2
Monmouth 1
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Airbus UK Broughton FC 4
Saltney Town 0
Briton Ferry 1
Goytre AFC 2
Ammanford Town 2
Llantwit Major 1
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Llandudno FC -
TBD -
Conwy Borough 1
Gresford 5
Prestatyn -
TBD -
Brickfield Rangers 2
Ruthin Town 4
Flint Town 3
Llay Welfare 1
Llandudno Albion 1
Buckley 2
Guilsfield 3
Holywell Town FC 2
TBD -
Newtown -
Bangor City -
TBD -
Bridgend Street 0
Cwmamman United 3
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
Caersws FC 1
Llanrhaeadr 2
Pontypridd United 3
Pencoed 1
Aberbargoed Buds 0
Haverfordwest 2
Llandudno Junction 3
Denbigh 2
STM Sports 1
Penydarren 2
TNS -
TBD -
Caerphilly 2
Penrhyncoch 4
Barry Town -
TBD -
Berriew FC 1
Caernarfon 4
Porthmadog 10
Penley 0
Ton Pentre 1
Panteg 2
Cwmbran Celtic 2
Llanelli 1
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
1/16-finals
Aberystwyth 4
Bala 0
Penybont 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Goytre AFC 2
Ammanford Town 2
Carmarthen Town 3
Llandudno FC 4
Gresford 0
Prestatyn 0
Ruthin Town 3
Flint Town 1
Buckley 0
Guilsfield 0
Newtown 2
Bangor City 4
Cwmamman United 3
Cefn Druids 2
Llanrhaeadr 3
Pontypridd United 3
Haverfordwest 1
Llandudno Junction 0
Penydarren 4
TNS 6
Penrhyncoch 0
Barry Town 0
Caernarfon 2
Porthmadog 7
Panteg 2
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Connahs Q. 3
1/8-finals
Aberystwyth 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Carmarthen Town 4
Llandudno FC 4
Ruthin Town 3
Flint Town 2
Newtown 3
Bangor City 3
Llanrhaeadr 2
Pontypridd United 1
Penydarren 2
TNS 3
Caernarfon 1
Porthmadog 1
Connahs Q. 3
Quarter-finals
Aberystwyth 3
Carmarthen Town 1
Llandudno FC 0
Newtown 2
Bangor City 7
Penydarren 0
TNS 1
Connahs Q. 2
Semi-finals
Aberystwyth 2
Newtown 1
Bangor City 1
Connahs Q. 6
Final
Aberystwyth 1
Connahs Q. 4
