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Melilla B vs Motril

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Melilla B
30%
Draws
47%
Motril
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Motril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Motril lately — more wins on the board than Melilla B.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 36.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Melilla B Clean Sheet 16%
Motril Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melilla B Motril
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 9 11
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 0.94 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.94 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.07 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Melilla B vs Motril
0:0
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Melilla B
2:1
Apr 14, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Melilla B vs Motril
1:0
Nov 20, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Melilla B
2:0
Feb 12, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Melilla B
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melilla B 36 / 100
Motril 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melilla B Motril

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Motril Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Motril's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Melilla B scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Melilla B went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Melilla B VS Motril
1.4 Goals Scored 1.13
1.8 Goals Conceded 0.75
60% Over 1.5 63%
60% Over 2.5 38%
60% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Melilla B

(Home)
10 May
Huetor Tajar
3 : 1
Melilla B
06 May
Melilla B
0 : 0
Motril
25 Apr
Melilla B
5 : 1
Martos
19 Apr
Mijas Las Lagunas
4 : 1
Melilla B
11 Apr
Melilla B
0 : 1
Marbelli
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Motril

(Away)
27 Sept
Motril
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
20 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2
Motril
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1
Torre del Mar
09 Sept
Motril
0 : 2
Recreativo Huelva
05 Sept
Huetor Vega
0 : 0
Motril
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 19 9 6 46:24 66
2 Motril 34 18 11 5 55:29 65
3 Torre del Mar 34 14 13 7 37:26 55
4 Arenas Armilla 34 15 9 10 38:29 54
5 Churriana de la Vega 34 14 10 10 32:40 52
6 Marbelli 34 14 9 11 36:28 51
7 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 13 11 10 39:38 50
8 UD San Pedro 34 13 10 11 39:37 49
9 Atletico de Porcuna 34 14 4 16 41:39 46
10 Huetor Vega 34 12 9 13 43:42 45
11 Granada CF B 34 10 14 10 49:47 44
12 CD Alhaurino 34 11 10 13 41:41 43
13 Melilla B 34 9 12 13 30:32 39
14 Mancha 34 9 10 15 30:38 37
15 Huetor Tajar 34 9 10 15 40:44 37
16 Martos 34 9 10 15 32:48 37
17 CD Torreperogil 34 9 6 19 24:45 33
18 El Palo 34 6 9 19 28:53 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)