Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 game between Melilla CD and El Palo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Melilla CD.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: El Palo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Melilla CD carry the better recent record into this one.
- El Palo are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and El Palo have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Melilla CD Clean Sheet 20%
El Palo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Melilla CD | El Palo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.84 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Melilla CD vs El Palo
1:0
Oct 31, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
El Palo vs Melilla CD
1:0
Feb 16, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Melilla CD vs El Palo
0:2
Sep 29, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
El Palo vs Melilla CD
3:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Melilla CD 16 / 100
El Palo 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Melilla CD El Palo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick El Palo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: El Palo conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.
Melilla CD's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.
El Palo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS El Palo
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Melilla CD
(Home) 09 Oct
Chiclana
4 : 0 Melilla CD
12 Oct
Melilla CD
1 : 3 Deportivo Murcia
19 Oct
CD Algar
4 : 1 Melilla CD
06 Jun
Melilla CD
1 : 2 Atletico de Porcuna
29 May
Maracena
5 : 2 Melilla CD
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12 Oct
Melilla CD
1 : 3 Deportivo Murcia
06 Jun
Melilla CD
1 : 2 Atletico de Porcuna
22 May
Melilla CD
2 : 1 Jaen
08 May
Melilla CD
1 : 0 Loja
24 Apr
Melilla CD
2 : 0 Maracena
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El Palo
(Away) 10 May
El Palo
0 : 2 Churriana de la Vega
03 May
CD Torreperogil
0 : 2 El Palo
25 Apr
El Palo
1 : 2 Atletico de Porcuna
19 Apr
Torre del Mar
1 : 1 El Palo
12 Apr
El Palo
0 : 1 Motril
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03 May
CD Torreperogil
0 : 2 El Palo
19 Apr
Torre del Mar
1 : 1 El Palo
29 Mar
CD Alhaurino
2 : 1 El Palo
15 Mar
Granada CF B
1 : 0 El Palo
01 Mar
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1 El Palo
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mancha | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 35:12 | 36 |
| 2 | Almeria B | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32:25 | 33 |
| 3 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 35:25 | 33 |
| 4 | CD Torreperogil | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 16:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Huetor Tajar | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 28:25 | 28 |
| 6 | Huetor Vega | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 25:27 | 25 |
| 7 | Jaen | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 24:27 | 25 |
| 8 | CP Almeria | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 15:25 | 23 |
| 9 | Loja | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 15:32 | 21 |
| 10 | Atletico de Porcuna | 20 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 22:23 | 21 |
| 11 | Maracena | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19:28 | 20 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Velez | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 22:15 | 37 |
| 2 | Antequera | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 29:11 | 30 |
| 3 | El Palo | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 18:17 | 28 |
| 4 | Torremolinos | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 23:18 | 28 |
| 5 | Malaga B | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 28:19 | 28 |
| 6 | CD Estepona | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18:25 | 20 |
| 7 | Alhaurin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 17:27 | 20 |
| 8 | Motril | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 21:26 | 20 |
| 9 | Melilla CD | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17:29 | 17 |
| 10 | CD Alhaurino | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 22:28 | 17 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
