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Melilla CD vs Jaen

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 game between Melilla CD and Jaen finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Melilla CD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Melilla CD
20%
Draws
80%
Jaen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jaen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jaen come out ahead of Melilla CD on wins alone.
  • Model gives Jaen a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Jaen have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Melilla CD Clean Sheet 19%
Jaen Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melilla CD Jaen
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 8 19
Draws 5 10
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 0.97 1.49
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Melilla CD vs Jaen
2:1
Apr 17, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Jaen vs Melilla CD
1:0
Feb 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Melilla CD vs Jaen
0:1
Aug 25, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Jaen vs Melilla CD
7:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melilla CD 10 / 100
Jaen 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melilla CD Jaen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Attacking prowess: Melilla CD scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Jaen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 35 matches.

Away concern: Jaen has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jaen
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Melilla CD

(Home)
09 Oct
Chiclana
4 : 0
Melilla CD
12 Oct
Melilla CD
1 : 3
Deportivo Murcia
19 Oct
CD Algar
4 : 1
Melilla CD
06 Jun
Melilla CD
1 : 2
Atletico de Porcuna
29 May
Maracena
5 : 2
Melilla CD
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Jaen

(Away)
06 Sept
Jaen
2 : 2
Huesca
30 Aug
CE Europa
0 : 3
Jaen
06 Aug
Jaen
1 : 2
Cordoba
01 Aug
Linares
0 : 2
Jaen
24 Jul
Cacereno
1 : 1
Jaen
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