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Melilla vs Conil - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion
Melilla Logo

Melilla

0 - 1
FT
Conil Logo

Conil

Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Valle C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Melilla
30%
Draws
31%
Conil
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Melilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Melilla haven't matched Conil's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Melilla's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Conil arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Conil, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Melilla Clean Sheet 20%
Conil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melilla Conil
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.28 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Copa Federacion
Melilla vs Conil
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Melilla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Conil Compare

Top Goalscorer Valle C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melilla 49 / 100
Conil 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melilla Conil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Melilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Melilla scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Melilla went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Conil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Melilla VS Conil
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Melilla

(Home)
31 Oct
Malaga B
2 : 2
Melilla
24 Oct
Melilla
2 : 0
Cantoria
18 Oct
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 0
Melilla
11 Oct
Melilla
2 : 0
UD San Pedro
04 Oct
CD Alhaurino
1 : 2
Melilla
Page 1 of 6

Conil

(Away)
01 Nov
Conil
0 : 0
Bollullos
25 Oct
Sevilla C
0 : 0
Conil
18 Oct
Conil
2 : 1
Portuense
10 Oct
AD Ceuta B
3 : 0
Conil
04 Oct
Conil
2 : 0
Cordoba B
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Comillas CF 3
L Hospitalet 2
CF Badalona 2
Sestao 3
AD San Juan 0
Terrassa 1
Binefar 1
Porreres 0
Santa Marta Tormes 2
Vimenor 1
Bergantinos 5
Leioa 0
Compostela 1
Derio 2
Salamanca CF UDS 3
Caudal Deportivo 2
Motril 0
Recreativo Huelva 2
Cacereno 2
UD San Pedro 0
Melilla 0
Conil 1
Sporting Ceuta 0
Dos Hermanas 9
Torrent 1
Atletico Saguntino 2
CF Talavera 0
Navalcarnero 2
UD San Fernando 1
Orihuela 3
Mensajero 1
Murcia 2
1/8-finals
Comillas CF 1
Sestao 2
Terrassa 4
Binefar 0
Santa Marta Tormes 1
Bergantinos 0
Derio 3
Salamanca CF UDS 5
Recreativo Huelva 2
Cacereno 1
Conil 1
Dos Hermanas 0
Atletico Saguntino 0
Navalcarnero 4
Orihuela 1
Murcia 4
Quarter-finals
Sestao 4
Terrassa 1
Santa Marta Tormes 1
Salamanca CF UDS 2
Recreativo Huelva 2
Conil 1
Navalcarnero 3
Murcia 1
Semi-finals
Sestao 3
Salamanca CF UDS 1
Recreativo Huelva 3
Navalcarnero 2
Final
Sestao -
Recreativo Huelva -