Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Melilla vs Conil

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Valle C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Melilla
15%
Draws
54%
Conil
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Conil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Melilla haven't matched Conil's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Conil arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Conil, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Melilla Clean Sheet 16%
Conil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melilla Conil
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 7 13
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Copa Federacion
Melilla vs Conil
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Melilla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Conil Compare

Top Goalscorer Valle C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melilla 30 / 100
Conil 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melilla Conil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Melilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Melilla scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Conil let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Melilla stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Melilla VS Conil
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Melilla

(Home)
12 Sept
Melilla
3 : 0
Huetor Vega
09 Sept
Melilla
0 : 1
Conil
05 Sept
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1 : 2
Melilla
03 May
Malaga B
3 : 3
Melilla
26 Apr
Melilla
2 : 4
Linares
Page 1 of 6

Conil

(Away)
09 Sept
Melilla
0 : 1
Conil
05 Sept
Conil
1 : 0
Pozoblanco
10 May
Linense
2 : 0
Conil
03 May
Conil
3 : 2
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
26 Apr
Pozoblanco
0 : 1
Conil
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Compostela 1
Derio 2
Salamanca CF UDS 3
Caudal Deportivo 2
Santa Marta Tormes 2
Vimenor 1
Bergantinos 5
Leioa 0
AD San Juan 0
Terrassa 1
Binefar 1
Porreres 0
Comillas CF 3
L Hospitalet 2
CF Badalona 2
Sestao 3
UD San Fernando 1
Orihuela 3
Mensajero 1
Murcia 2
Torrent 1
Atletico Saguntino 2
CF Talavera 0
Navalcarnero 2
Motril 0
Recreativo Huelva 2
Cacereno 2
UD San Pedro 0
Melilla 0
Conil 1
Sporting Ceuta 0
Dos Hermanas 9
1/8-finals
Derio 3
Salamanca CF UDS 5
Santa Marta Tormes 1
Bergantinos 0
Terrassa 4
Binefar 0
Comillas CF 1
Sestao 2
Orihuela 1
Murcia 4
Atletico Saguntino -
Navalcarnero -
Recreativo Huelva 2
Cacereno 1
Conil 1
Dos Hermanas 0
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -