Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Melilla vs Linares

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal Álvarez Claro, Melilla
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Manny
30' Event
Sola J.
39' Event
Talaveron D.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Melilla and Linares finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Linares.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Melilla
44%
Draws
20%
Linares
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Linares carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Melilla Clean Sheet 23%
Linares Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melilla Linares
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 12 11
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Melilla vs Linares
2:4
Jan 4, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Linares vs Melilla
0:0
Mar 24, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Linares vs Melilla
0:0
Dec 17, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Melilla vs Linares
1:0
Apr 30, 2017 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Melilla vs Linares
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Melilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Sola J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chavarria M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Linares Compare

Top Goalscorer Manny
1 Goals
Assists Leader Talaveron D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melilla 37 / 100
Linares 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melilla Linares

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Linares has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Melilla found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Melilla stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Melilla VS Linares
1 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Melilla

(Home)
03 May
Malaga B
3 : 3
Melilla
26 Apr
Melilla
2 : 4
Linares
19 Apr
Recreativo Huelva
1 : 0
Melilla
12 Apr
Melilla
0 : 1
Aguilas FC
05 Apr
CD Estepona
1 : 1
Melilla
Page 1 of 6

Linares

(Away)
03 May
Linares
1 : 2
CD Extremadura
26 Apr
Melilla
2 : 4
Linares
19 Apr
Linares
2 : 3
CD Estepona
12 Apr
Xerez Deportivo FC
0 : 0
Linares
04 Apr
Linares
2 : 0
Antoniano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Extremadura341712554:3863
2Deportiva Minera34196950:3363
3Aguilas FC34187945:2561
4Xerez CD34178932:2459
5Jaen341610843:3358
6Recreativo Huelva34169941:2557
7UCAM Murcia341671149:4155
8Linares341114942:4547
9La Union (Malacitano)341361544:4345
10Lorca Deportiva341291332:3645
11Yeclano341281433:3344
12Antoniano341281438:4044
13CD Estepona341281440:4444
14Puente Genil3410101428:3740
15Xerez Deportivo FC348121434:4336
16Melilla347131436:4034
17Almeria B34492126:5321
18Malaga B34562332:6621
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)