Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Melilla vs Linares

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal Álvarez Claro, Melilla
Melilla Logo

Melilla

2 - 4
FT
Linares Logo

Linares

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Rodriguez M.
30' Event
Sola J.
39' Event
Talaveron D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Melilla and Linares finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Linares.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Melilla
30%
Draws
31%
Linares
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Melilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Linares carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Melilla Clean Sheet 68%
Linares Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melilla Linares
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 9 11
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.14 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Melilla vs Linares
2:4
Jan 4, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Linares vs Melilla
0:0
Mar 24, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Linares vs Melilla
0:0
Dec 17, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Melilla vs Linares
1:0
Apr 30, 2017 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Melilla vs Linares
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Melilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Sola J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chavarria M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Linares Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Talaveron D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melilla 41 / 100
Linares 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melilla Linares

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Melilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Linares has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Melilla found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Melilla stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Melilla VS Linares
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Melilla

(Home)
20 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 2
Melilla
12 Sept
Melilla
3 : 0
Huetor Vega
09 Sept
Melilla
0 : 1
Conil
05 Sept
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1 : 2
Melilla
03 May
Malaga B
3 : 3
Melilla
Page 1 of 6

Linares

(Away)
20 Sept
Linares
0 : 1
Las Palmas B
12 Sept
CD Estepona
1 : 4
Linares
06 Sept
Linares
1 : 1
Ciudad de Lucena
15 Aug
CD Badajoz
1 : 1
Linares
08 Aug
Dos Hermanas
0 : 1
Linares
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 17 12 5 54:38 63
2 Deportiva Minera 34 19 6 9 50:33 63
3 Aguilas FC 34 18 7 9 45:25 61
4 Xerez CD 34 17 8 9 32:24 59
5 Jaen 34 16 10 8 43:33 58
6 Recreativo Huelva 34 16 9 9 41:25 57
7 UCAM Murcia 34 16 7 11 49:41 55
8 Linares 34 11 14 9 42:45 47
9 La Union (Malacitano) 34 13 6 15 44:43 45
10 Lorca Deportiva 34 12 9 13 32:36 45
11 Yeclano 34 12 8 14 33:33 44
12 Antoniano 34 12 8 14 38:40 44
13 CD Estepona 34 12 8 14 40:44 44
14 Puente Genil 34 10 10 14 28:37 40
15 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 8 12 14 34:43 36
16 Melilla 34 7 13 14 36:40 34
17 Almeria B 34 4 9 21 26:53 21
18 Malaga B 34 5 6 23 32:66 21
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)