Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Melita vs Qala Saints Prediction & H2H Stats

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2023/2024
Melita Logo

Melita

Wed, Dec 13, 2023
5 - 7
10:15 AM
Qala Saints Logo

Qala Saints

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
81' Event
84' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Qala Saints in this FA Trophy 2023/2024 tie, finishing 5-7. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Melita
15%
Draws
42%
Qala Saints
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Melita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Melita lately — more wins on the board than Qala Saints.
  • Win probability leans Melita's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Melita have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Qala Saints, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Melita Clean Sheet 20%
Qala Saints Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melita Qala Saints
Matches Played 33 17
Wins 17 5
Draws 3 0
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.85 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.39 2.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 13, 2023 FA Trophy
Melita vs Qala Saints
5:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melita 36 / 100
Qala Saints 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melita Qala Saints

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qala Saints's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 17 matches.

These sides typically produce 12.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Melita scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Away concern: Qala Saints has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Melita VS Qala Saints
2.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Melita

(Home)
19 Sept
Melita
1 : 2
Mgarr
13 Sept
Gudja
0 : 3
Melita
03 May
Melita
0 : 3
Birzebbuga
25 Apr
Melita
3 : 1
Xewkija
19 Apr
Balzan FC
2 : 0
Melita
Page 1 of 7

Qala Saints

(Away)
27 Feb
Qala Saints
1 : 2
Kercem Ajax
04 Jan
Qala Saints
0 : 2
Mgarr
06 Dec
Zebbug
0 : 5
Qala Saints
04 Feb
Qala Saints
0 : 3
Hibernians
12 Jan
Qala Saints
2 : 0
St. Andrews
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
Zejtun 3
Kercem Ajax 2
Luqa -
TBD -
St. George's FC 1
Swieqi 5
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
Zabbar -
TBD -
Tarxien 1
Zebbug 2
Gzira -
TBD -
Oratory 0
Fgura 2
Hibernians -
TBD -
Melita 5
Qala Saints 7
Santa Lucia -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers 1
Marsa 2
Msida 5
Xaghra 1
TBD -
Mgarr -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
Nadur 3
St. Andrews 2
TBD -
Sirens -
Hamrun -
TBD -
Kirkop 1
Lija 2
Xewkija -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
Senglea 2
Pieta 3
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaskala FC -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Zurrieq -
1/16-finals
Marsaxlokk 5
Zejtun 0
Luqa 1
Swieqi 2
Floriana 2
Naxxar Lions 0
Zabbar 1
Zebbug 2
Gzira 2
Fgura 0
Hibernians 2
Qala Saints 0
Santa Lucia 2
Marsa 0
Msida 1
Mgarr 3
Birkirkara 3
Attard 1
Nadur 1
Sirens 2
Hamrun 3
Lija 0
Xewkija 0
Gudja 3
Mosta FC 5
Pieta 1
Valletta 7
Ghajnsielem 1
Sliema 3
Marsaskala FC 0
Balzan FC 2
Zurrieq 1
1/8-finals
Marsaxlokk 3
Swieqi 0
Floriana 7
Zebbug 1
Gzira 1
Hibernians 0
Santa Lucia 3
Mgarr 4
Birkirkara 1
Sirens 0
Hamrun 3
Gudja 0
Mosta FC 2
Valletta 1
Sliema 1
Balzan FC 0
Quarter-finals
Marsaxlokk 0
Floriana 2
Gzira 2
Mgarr 0
Birkirkara 3
Hamrun 2
Mosta FC 2
Sliema 3
Semi-finals
Floriana 3
Gzira 2
Birkirkara 0
Sliema 1
Final
Floriana 0
Sliema 1