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Melksham vs Bristol Rovers

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Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Hutchinson I.
46' Event
Dewsbury O.
57' Event
Haffenden E.

AI Match Summary

Bristol Rovers in this Club Friendly 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bristol Rovers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Melksham
20%
Draws
50%
Bristol Rovers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bristol Rovers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Melksham haven't matched Bristol Rovers's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Bristol Rovers taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Bristol Rovers have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Melksham Clean Sheet 10%
Bristol Rovers Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melksham Bristol Rovers
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 17
Draws 4 4
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.1 2
Goals Conceded 2.52 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2024 Club Friendly
Melksham vs Bristol Rovers
2:4
Jun 30, 2023 Club Friendly
Melksham vs Bristol Rovers
0:9
Jul 1, 2022 Club Friendly
Melksham vs Bristol Rovers
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Melksham Compare

Top Goalscorer Haffenden E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Bristol Rovers Compare

Top Goalscorer Ellison D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hutchinson I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melksham 10 / 100
Bristol Rovers 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melksham Bristol Rovers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 7.33 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Melksham scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Bristol Rovers conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Melksham remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Melksham VS Bristol Rovers
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Melksham

(Home)
24 Jul
Melksham
2 : 1
Yate
11 Jul
Melksham
1 : 4
Yeovil
06 Sept
Portishead Town
4 : 0
Melksham
22 Jul
Melksham
0 : 2
Weston-super-Mare
12 Jul
Melksham
0 : 4
Swindon
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Bristol Rovers

(Away)
08 Aug
Bristol Rovers
0 : 1
Peterborough
21 Jul
Forest Green
2 : 2
Bristol Rovers
18 Jul
Bristol Rovers
1 : 1
Portsmouth
14 Jul
Bristol Rovers
1 : 2
Leicester
11 Jul
Salisbury
2 : 3
Bristol Rovers
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