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Melksham vs Forest Green

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Omotoye T.
45' Event
Omotoye T.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Melksham and Forest Green finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Forest Green.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Melksham
15%
Draws
64%
Forest Green
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Forest Green

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Forest Green carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Forest Green are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Forest Green have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Melksham Clean Sheet 10%
Forest Green Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melksham Forest Green
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.84
Goals Conceded 2.52 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Melksham vs Forest Green
0:2
Jul 5, 2023 Club Friendly
Melksham vs Forest Green
1:1
Jun 28, 2022 Club Friendly
Melksham vs Forest Green
0:3
Jul 13, 2021 Club Friendly
Melksham vs Forest Green
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Melksham Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Forest Green Compare

Top Goalscorer Omotoye T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melksham 14 / 100
Forest Green 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melksham Forest Green

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forest Green Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forest Green's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Melksham's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Melksham has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Melksham VS Forest Green
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Melksham

(Home)
24 Jul
Melksham
2 : 1
Yate
11 Jul
Melksham
1 : 4
Yeovil
06 Sept
Portishead Town
4 : 0
Melksham
22 Jul
Melksham
0 : 2
Weston-super-Mare
12 Jul
Melksham
0 : 4
Swindon
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Forest Green

(Away)
15 Aug
Worthing FC
1 : 2
Forest Green
08 Aug
Forest Green
3 : 2
Halifax
01 Aug
Forest Green
1 : 4
Swindon
29 Jul
Forest Green
3 : 2
Bristol City
25 Jul
Forest Green
1 : 5
Cardiff
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