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Melksham vs Swindon

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Melksham and Swindon finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Swindon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Melksham
15%
Draws
42%
Swindon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Melksham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Swindon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • History favors Swindon here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Melksham Clean Sheet 10%
Swindon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melksham Swindon
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.6
Goals Conceded 2.59 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Melksham vs Swindon
0:4
Jul 16, 2024 Club Friendly
Melksham vs Swindon
1:3
Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Melksham vs Swindon
0:5
Jul 2, 2022 Club Friendly
Melksham vs Swindon
2:3
Jul 9, 2021 Club Friendly
Melksham vs Swindon
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melksham 30 / 100
Swindon 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melksham Swindon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Swindon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swindon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Melksham scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Away concern: Swindon has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Melksham VS Swindon
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Melksham

(Home)
29 Aug
Weymouth
5 : 1
Melksham
24 Jul
Melksham
2 : 1
Yate
11 Jul
Melksham
1 : 4
Yeovil
06 Sept
Portishead Town
4 : 0
Melksham
22 Jul
Melksham
0 : 2
Weston-super-Mare
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Swindon

(Away)
22 Sept
Swindon
0 : 2
Newport
19 Sept
Salford
1 : 0
Swindon
15 Sept
Swindon
1 : 2
Crystal Palace U21
12 Sept
York City
4 : 0
Swindon
05 Sept
Swindon
3 : 1
Colchester
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