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Stadium Background

Mellendorfer W vs Holstein Kiel W

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga Women 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mellendorfer W play Holstein Kiel W in the 2. Bundesliga Women 2008/2009. Holstein Kiel W are favorites here. Recently, Mellendorfer W averaged 0.9 goals scored and 4.97 conceded. Holstein Kiel W averaged 0.89 goals scored and 3.27 conceded. In past meetings, Mellendorfer W won 0, Holstein Kiel W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 13, 2009 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.54 for Mellendorfer W and 0.93 for Holstein Kiel W. This points to a Holstein Kiel W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Mellendorfer W
15%
Draws
58%
Holstein Kiel W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Holstein Kiel W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Mellendorfer W picked up more points recently compared to Holstein Kiel W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.54 vs 0.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Mellendorfer W Clean Sheet 24%
Holstein Kiel W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mellendorfer W Holstein Kiel W
Matches Played 31 44
Wins 3 7
Draws 2 4
Losses 26 33
Goals Scored 0.9 0.89
Goals Conceded 4.97 3.27

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2009 2. Bundesliga Women
Holstein Kiel W vs Mellendorfer W
0:0
Oct 12, 2008 2. Bundesliga Women
Mellendorfer W vs Holstein Kiel W
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mellendorfer W 29 / 100
Holstein Kiel W 54 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mellendorfer W Holstein Kiel W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holstein Kiel W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Holstein Kiel W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mellendorfer W attacking → ← attacking Holstein Kiel W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mellendorfer W scored in 48% of their last 31 games.

Holstein Kiel W let in goals in 89% of their last 44 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Mellendorfer W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Holstein Kiel W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

11 Points in last 5 25
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1TB Berlin W22192159:1859
2Turbine Potsdam II W22162456:2750
3Leipzig W22142645:2744
4Gutersloh W22123743:2739
5Hamburger 2 W22105744:3035
6Oldesloe W22103923:2733
7Holstein Kiel W22831127:3727
8Hohen Neuendorf W22731229:4124
9Gersten W22651131:3523
10Mellendorfer W22521522:5317
11Lutgendortmund W22431520:4515
12Union Berlin W22331622:5412
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Saarbrucken W22183181:1057
2Sindelfingen W22181360:1655
3Duisburg 2 W22142651:2844
4Wattenscheid 09 W22133644:3342
51. FFC Frankfurt II W22123747:2939
6Hagsfeld W2286842:3930
7Bayer Leverkusen W2267947:4025
8SC Sand W22661037:4724
9Wacker Munchen W22731228:4524
10Lochgau W22521538:6317
11Jagersburg W22421625:7814
12Dirmingen W22121920:925