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Mellieha vs Vittoriosa

Malta Malta

Division 1 2007/2008
Mellieha Logo

Mellieha

3 - 6
FT
Vittoriosa Logo

Vittoriosa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2007/2008 game between Mellieha and Vittoriosa finished 3-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vittoriosa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Mellieha
15%
Draws
59%
Vittoriosa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vittoriosa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Vittoriosa haven't matched Mellieha's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Vittoriosa's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Division 1 2007/2008 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Vittoriosa have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Mellieha Clean Sheet 19%
Vittoriosa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mellieha Vittoriosa
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 8
Draws 1 9
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 1.23 1.22
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 8, 2021 FA Trophy
Vittoriosa vs Mellieha
2:0
Mar 19, 2008 Challenge League
Mellieha vs Vittoriosa
3:6
Nov 24, 2007 Challenge League
Vittoriosa vs Mellieha
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mellieha 12 / 100
Vittoriosa 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mellieha Vittoriosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vittoriosa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.67 goals per match.

Mellieha's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Vittoriosa has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Mellieha remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vittoriosa
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mellieha

(Home)
10 Jan
Zurrieq
1 : 0
Mellieha
07 Dec
Tarxien
1 : 2
Mellieha
08 Dec
Vittoriosa
2 : 0
Mellieha
26 Oct
Mellieha
1 : 4
Swieqi
02 Dec
Mellieha
0 : 5
Lija
Page 1 of 6

Vittoriosa

(Away)
19 Sept
Vittoriosa
2 : 0
Gudja
12 Sept
Santa Lucia
0 : 0
Vittoriosa
18 Apr
Vittoriosa
2 : 3
Gudja
11 Apr
Vittoriosa
0 : 1
Zebbug
01 Apr
Mtarfa
0 : 1
Vittoriosa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tarxien 18 12 3 3 32:17 39
2 Mosta FC 18 11 4 3 34:18 37
3 Qormi 18 11 4 3 37:22 37
4 Senglea 18 10 1 7 32:23 31
5 Dingli Swallows 18 8 3 7 34:27 27
6 Vittoriosa 18 8 1 9 33:29 25
7 St. George's FC 18 6 3 9 27:33 21
8 Zabbar 18 4 4 10 21:27 16
9 Mellieha 18 3 4 11 21:43 13
10 Marsa 18 3 1 14 23:55 10
Promotion - Premier League 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2007/2008 (Promotion - Play Offs)