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Melville vs Onehunga

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Onehunga in this Chatham Cup 2014 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Melville
15%
Draws
64%
Onehunga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Onehunga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Melville have won more games recently than Onehunga.
  • Model gives Onehunga a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Melville have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Onehunga, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Onehunga have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Melville Clean Sheet 16%
Onehunga Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melville Onehunga
Matches Played 30 14
Wins 14 10
Draws 1 0
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.6 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2018 Chatham Cup
Melville vs Onehunga
1:3
Jul 15, 2017 Chatham Cup
Onehunga vs Melville
1:0
Jul 26, 2014 Chatham Cup
Melville vs Onehunga
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melville 15 / 100
Onehunga 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melville Onehunga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ONE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Melville scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Onehunga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 14 matches.

Melville has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Melville VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Melville

(Home)
04 Jul
Melville
0 : 1
Hibiscus Coast
05 Jul
Auckland United
7 : 1
Melville
06 Jul
Melville
0 : 1
Hibiscus Coast
10 Sept
Melville
2 : 3
Christchurch
19 Aug
Melville
3 : 1
Waterside Karori
Page 1 of 6

Onehunga

(Away)
25 Aug
Napier City
2 : 1
Onehunga
03 Aug
Onehunga
5 : 4
Wellington Olympic
06 Jul
Onehunga
2 : 0
North Shore
04 Aug
Onehunga
1 : 4
Western Suburbs
14 Jul
Melville
1 : 3
Onehunga
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Central United 3
Glenfield 1
Bay Olympic 2
Hamilton 3
Island Bay 3
Miramar 2
Tawa 2
Napier City 4
Ngongotaha AFC 1
Melville 2
Tauranga 0
Onehunga 2
Dunedin 1
Otago University 0
Coastal Spirit 0
Cashmere Technical 1
Quarter-finals
Central United 2
Hamilton 0
Island Bay 1
Napier City 4
Melville 1
Onehunga 2
Dunedin 0
Cashmere Technical 3
Semi-finals
Central United 2
Napier City 0
Onehunga 0
Cashmere Technical 4
Final
Central United 1
Cashmere Technical 2