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Memmingen vs Lugano Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Bichsel J.
40' Event
Raffa C.
56' Event
Castro Espinosa B. D.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Memmingen and Lugano finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lugano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Memmingen
30%
Draws
39%
Lugano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lugano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Lugano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Lugano are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Memmingen Clean Sheet 13%
Lugano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Memmingen Lugano
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 21
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.22 2.45
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Memmingen vs Lugano
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Memmingen Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Lugano Compare

Top Goalscorer Bichsel J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Raffa C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Memmingen 27 / 100
Lugano 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Memmingen Lugano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lugano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Memmingen scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Memmingen has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Lugano let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Memmingen VS Lugano
0.75 Goals Scored 3.13
0.25 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Memmingen

(Home)
03 Oct
TSV Aubstadt
0 : 1
Memmingen
25 Sept
Memmingen
0 : 1
Buchbach
19 Sept
Illertissen
0 : 2
Memmingen
15 Sept
Memmingen
0 : 0
Burghausen
12 Sept
Memmingen
0 : 0
Vilzing
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Lugano

(Away)
02 Oct
Lugano
1 : 3
Verona
20 Sept
Lausanne
0 : 4
Lugano
16 Sept
Lugano
4 : 1
St. Gallen
12 Sept
Lugano
2 : 2
Young Boys
06 Sept
Basel
1 : 3
Lugano
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