Sport Picks
Menace vs Thunder Bay Chill
USA
USL League Two 2023 
Match Events
45'
45'
Cutts E.
90'
90'
Kunga L.
103'
103'
Enzugusi L.
AI Match Summary
Menace in this USL League Two 2023 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thunder Bay Chill
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Thunder Bay Chill have won more games recently than Menace.
- 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Thunder Bay Chill arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Menace, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Menace Clean Sheet 18%
Thunder Bay Chill Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Menace | Thunder Bay Chill |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 21 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2.53 | 2.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.73 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 24, 2023 USL League Two
Menace vs Thunder Bay Chill
3:2
Jul 2, 2022 USL League Two
Menace vs Thunder Bay Chill
2:2
Jun 3, 2022 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs Menace
0:3
Jun 19, 2020 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs Menace
0:0
Jun 14, 2020 USL League Two
Menace vs Thunder Bay Chill
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Menace Compare
Top Goalscorer Kunga L.
2 Goals Assists Leader Enzugusi L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86
Thunder Bay Chill Compare
Top Goalscorer Cutts E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Wynne J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Menace 36 / 100
Thunder Bay Chill 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Menace Thunder Bay Chill
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Thunder Bay Chill Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Menace found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (32 games).
Thunder Bay Chill let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Menace has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Menace VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Menace
(Home) 12 Jul
Menace
3 : 1 St. Louis Ambush
08 Jul
Springfield FC
2 : 4 Menace
04 Jul
Menace
0 : 3 Santafe Wanderers
01 Jul
Sunflower State
2 : 1 Menace
28 Jun
Menace
1 : 2 Peoria IL
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12 Jul
Menace
3 : 1 St. Louis Ambush
04 Jul
Menace
0 : 3 Santafe Wanderers
28 Jun
Menace
1 : 2 Peoria IL
14 Jun
Menace
3 : 1 Springfield FC
31 May
Menace
3 : 1 Sunflower State
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Thunder Bay Chill
(Away) 20 Jul
Peoria IL
2 : 0 Thunder Bay Chill
13 Jul
Minneapolis City
2 : 1 Thunder Bay Chill
11 Jul
St. Croix
1 : 2 Thunder Bay Chill
07 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
2 : 0 Rochester FC
05 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
3 : 2 Minneapolis City
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20 Jul
Peoria IL
2 : 0 Thunder Bay Chill
13 Jul
Minneapolis City
2 : 1 Thunder Bay Chill
11 Jul
St. Croix
1 : 2 Thunder Bay Chill
29 Jun
Bavarian United SC
1 : 3 Thunder Bay Chill
28 Jun
RKC SC
0 : 1 Thunder Bay Chill
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
North Carolina Fusion U23 2
Western Pioneers 1
Lionsbridge 1
Charlotte Eagles 0
Seacoast United Phantoms 1
Hudson Valley 2
Long Island 1
Ocean City 2
Brave SC 2
South Carolina United Bantams 1
Asheville City 4
Weston 1
Texas United 2
Nona 1
Little Rock Rangers 2
AHFC Royals 0
Chicago City 5
Cleveland Force 1
Fort Wayne 2
Flint City 3
Thunder Bay Chill 5
Ann Arbor 3
Menace 3
RKC SC 1
Park City 0
FC Olympia 4
Ballard 3
New Mexico U23 0
Redlands United FC 1
San Francisco Glens SC 2
Ventura 1
Monterey Bay 2 0
1/8-finals
North Carolina Fusion U23 1
Lionsbridge 3
Hudson Valley 1
Ocean City 2
Brave SC 1
Asheville City 0
Texas United 0
Little Rock Rangers 2
Chicago City 0
Flint City 2
Thunder Bay Chill 2
Menace 3
FC Olympia 0
Ballard 3
San Francisco Glens SC 1
Ventura 4
Quarter-finals
Lionsbridge 4
Ocean City 2
Brave SC 2
Little Rock Rangers 1
Flint City 2
Menace 0
Ballard 4
Ventura 3
Semi-finals
Lionsbridge 2
Brave SC 1
Flint City 0
Ballard 1
Final
Lionsbridge 1
Ballard 2
