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Mendrisio vs FC Widnau

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 1.Liga Classic Group 3 2025/2026 game between Mendrisio and FC Widnau finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mendrisio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Mendrisio
40%
Draws
29%
FC Widnau
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Mendrisio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular 1.Liga Classic Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Mendrisio Clean Sheet 18%
FC Widnau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mendrisio FC Widnau
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 12 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Mendrisio vs FC Widnau
4:2
Oct 5, 2025 1.Liga Classic Group 3
FC Widnau vs Mendrisio
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mendrisio 32 / 100
FC Widnau 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mendrisio FC Widnau

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Widnau has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Mendrisio scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Solid form: Mendrisio remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mendrisio VS FC Widnau
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Young Fellows Juventus30234381:2673
2Tuggen30194774:5261
3Taverne30186654:3160
4Wettswil-Bonstetten30185774:3659
5Dietikon301281054:4744
6Freienbach301271153:5343
7Baden301181158:5241
8Mendrisio301171242:4440
9Winterthur II301091161:5439
10Collina d'Oro301091146:4439
11Kosova30991254:5536
12Eschen/Mauren307111235:5132
13St. Gallen II30951647:6632
14FC Widnau30761734:6327
15Hongg30671732:6225
16SV Schaffhausen30352224:8714