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Mendrisio vs FC Widnau Prediction & H2H Stats

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 3 2025/2026
Mendrisio Logo

Mendrisio

4 - 2
FT
FC Widnau Logo

FC Widnau

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1.Liga Classic Group 3 2025/2026 game between Mendrisio and FC Widnau finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mendrisio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mendrisio
20%
Draws
40%
FC Widnau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Mendrisio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Mendrisio a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1.Liga Classic Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Mendrisio Clean Sheet 19%
FC Widnau Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mendrisio FC Widnau
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 10 8
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.25 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 3
FC Widnau vs Mendrisio
1:1
Apr 18, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Mendrisio vs FC Widnau
4:2
Oct 5, 2025 1.Liga Classic Group 3
FC Widnau vs Mendrisio
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mendrisio 58 / 100
FC Widnau 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mendrisio FC Widnau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mendrisio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Mendrisio scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

FC Widnau let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: FC Widnau has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mendrisio VS FC Widnau
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mendrisio

(Home)
26 Sept
Wettswil-Bonstetten
1 : 1
Mendrisio
20 Sept
Mendrisio
1 : 3
St. Gallen II
12 Sept
Eschen/Mauren
4 : 3
Mendrisio
06 Sept
Mendrisio
2 : 0
Freienbach
29 Aug
Winterthur II
2 : 1
Mendrisio
Page 1 of 7

FC Widnau

(Away)
27 Sept
FC Widnau
0 : 1
Freienbach
19 Sept
Taverne
5 : 0
FC Widnau
13 Sept
FC Widnau
1 : 0
Winterthur II
05 Sept
Locarno
0 : 0
FC Widnau
30 Aug
FC Widnau
0 : 1
Collina d'Oro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Fellows Juventus 30 23 4 3 81:26 73
2 Tuggen 30 19 4 7 74:52 61
3 Taverne 30 18 6 6 54:31 60
4 Wettswil-Bonstetten 30 18 5 7 74:36 59
5 Dietikon 30 12 8 10 54:47 44
6 Freienbach 30 12 7 11 53:53 43
7 Baden 30 11 8 11 58:52 41
8 Mendrisio 30 11 7 12 42:44 40
9 Winterthur II 30 10 9 11 61:54 39
10 Collina d'Oro 30 10 9 11 46:44 39
11 Kosova 30 9 9 12 54:55 36
12 Eschen/Mauren 30 7 11 12 35:51 32
13 St. Gallen II 30 9 5 16 47:66 32
14 FC Widnau 30 7 6 17 34:63 27
15 Hongg 30 6 7 17 32:62 25
16 SV Schaffhausen 30 3 5 22 24:87 14
Promotion - 1.Liga Classic Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)