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Mendrisio vs Lugano II

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Thu, Jul 24, 2025
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mendrisio host Lugano II in the Club Friendly 2025. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Mendrisio have averaged 1.21 scored and 1.34 conceded recently, against Lugano II's 1.38 scored and 2.41 conceded. Past meetings favor Lugano II slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 24, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.50) point toward Mendrisio. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Mendrisio
15%
Draws
51%
Lugano II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lugano II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Mendrisio have won more games recently than Lugano II.
  • Model gives Mendrisio a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Mendrisio Clean Sheet 16%
Lugano II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mendrisio Lugano II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.21 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.34 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2025 Club Friendly
Mendrisio vs Lugano II
0:0
Jul 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Lugano II vs Mendrisio
0:1
Feb 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Lugano II vs Mendrisio
1:1
Apr 5, 2014 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Mendrisio vs Lugano II
2:3
Sep 11, 2013 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Lugano II vs Mendrisio
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mendrisio 36 / 100
Lugano II 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mendrisio Lugano II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lugano II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Mendrisio found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Difficult form: Lugano II registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mendrisio VS Lugano II
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mendrisio

(Home)
20 Sept
Mendrisio
1 : 3
St. Gallen II
12 Sept
Eschen/Mauren
4 : 3
Mendrisio
06 Sept
Mendrisio
2 : 0
Freienbach
29 Aug
Winterthur II
2 : 1
Mendrisio
22 Aug
Collina d'Oro
1 : 1
Mendrisio
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Lugano II

(Away)
19 Sept
Schaffhausen
2 : 1
Lugano II
13 Sept
Lugano II
3 : 0
Basel II
05 Sept
Amical Saint-Prex
1 : 0
Lugano II
29 Aug
Lugano II
3 : 2
Bavois
23 Aug
Biel
5 : 2
Lugano II
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