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Mendrisio vs St. Gallen II

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 1.Liga Classic Group 3 2025/2026 game between Mendrisio and St. Gallen II finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mendrisio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Mendrisio
39%
Draws
31%
St. Gallen II
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Mendrisio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Mendrisio Clean Sheet 15%
St. Gallen II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mendrisio St. Gallen II
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Mendrisio vs St. Gallen II
2:1
Aug 10, 2025 1.Liga Classic Group 3
St. Gallen II vs Mendrisio
2:2
Mar 8, 2025 1.Liga Classic Group 3
St. Gallen II vs Mendrisio
3:0
Aug 24, 2024 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Mendrisio vs St. Gallen II
1:1
Mar 2, 2019 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Mendrisio vs St. Gallen II
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mendrisio 30 / 100
St. Gallen II 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mendrisio St. Gallen II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: St. Gallen II conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Mendrisio found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Mendrisio stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mendrisio VS St. Gallen II
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Young Fellows Juventus30234381:2673
2Tuggen30194774:5261
3Taverne30186654:3160
4Wettswil-Bonstetten30185774:3659
5Dietikon301281054:4744
6Freienbach301271153:5343
7Baden301181158:5241
8Mendrisio301171242:4440
9Winterthur II301091161:5439
10Collina d'Oro301091146:4439
11Kosova30991254:5536
12Eschen/Mauren307111235:5132
13St. Gallen II30951647:6632
14FC Widnau30761734:6327
15Hongg30671732:6225
16SV Schaffhausen30352224:8714