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Mendrisio vs Tuggen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 3
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AI Match Summary

The 1.Liga Classic Group 3 game between Mendrisio and Tuggen finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Mendrisio
35%
Draws
40%
Tuggen
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tuggen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Tuggen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Mendrisio Clean Sheet 10%
Tuggen Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mendrisio Tuggen
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 10 19
Draws 11 7
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.25 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Mendrisio vs Tuggen
1:1
May 23, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Mendrisio vs Tuggen
1:0
Nov 15, 2025 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Tuggen vs Mendrisio
1:0
Mar 29, 2025 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Mendrisio vs Tuggen
1:0
Sep 14, 2024 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Tuggen vs Mendrisio
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mendrisio 30 / 100
Tuggen 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mendrisio Tuggen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tuggen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mendrisio found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Tuggen conceded in 79% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Mendrisio stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mendrisio VS Tuggen
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mendrisio

(Home)
03 Oct
Mendrisio
1 : 1
Tuggen
26 Sept
Wettswil-Bonstetten
1 : 1
Mendrisio
20 Sept
Mendrisio
1 : 3
St. Gallen II
12 Sept
Eschen/Mauren
4 : 3
Mendrisio
06 Sept
Mendrisio
2 : 0
Freienbach
Page 1 of 7

Tuggen

(Away)
03 Oct
Mendrisio
1 : 1
Tuggen
26 Sept
Tuggen
0 : 0
Kosova
19 Sept
Thalwil
2 : 1
Tuggen
12 Sept
Tuggen
2 : 1
Baden
05 Sept
Gossau
1 : 4
Tuggen
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tuggen 9 6 2 1 20:9 20
2 St. Gallen II 9 6 1 2 20:16 19
3 Taverne 9 5 2 2 24:13 17
4 Thalwil 9 4 4 1 16:9 16
5 Baden 9 5 1 3 19:14 16
6 Kosova 9 4 4 1 15:11 16
7 Collina d'Oro 9 4 2 3 8:9 14
8 Dietikon 9 3 2 4 12:14 11
9 Gossau 9 3 2 4 12:17 11
10 Freienbach 9 2 4 3 11:14 10
11 Winterthur II 8 3 0 5 10:11 9
12 Eschen/Mauren 8 2 2 4 8:15 8
13 Mendrisio 9 1 5 3 11:13 8
14 Locarno 9 1 4 4 11:13 7
15 Wettswil-Bonstetten 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
16 FC Widnau 9 1 2 6 4:17 5
Promotion - 1.Liga Classic Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)