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Mensajero vs CD Buzanada Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Ankudinov D.
19' Event
Ankudinov D.
37' Event
Ankudinov D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 game between Mensajero and CD Buzanada finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mensajero.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Mensajero
15%
Draws
26%
CD Buzanada
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mensajero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mensajero come out ahead of CD Buzanada on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Mensajero's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Mensajero Clean Sheet 20%
CD Buzanada Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mensajero CD Buzanada
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.29 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Mensajero vs CD Buzanada
4:1
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Buzanada vs Mensajero
3:1
Feb 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Buzanada vs Mensajero
0:1
Dec 6, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Mensajero vs CD Buzanada
0:2
Apr 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Mensajero vs CD Buzanada
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mensajero Compare

Top Goalscorer Ankudinov D.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

CD Buzanada Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mensajero 85 / 100
CD Buzanada 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mensajero CD Buzanada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mensajero Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Buzanada's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Mensajero found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Mensajero stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mensajero VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mensajero

(Home)
03 Oct
Villaverde Norte
1 : 2
Mensajero
27 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0
San Miguel
19 Sept
Anaza
1 : 0
Mensajero
13 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0
Tenerife C
09 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 2
Murcia
Page 1 of 7

CD Buzanada

(Away)
10 May
Arucas
5 : 1
CD Buzanada
04 May
CD Buzanada
0 : 3
UD San Fernando
26 Apr
Union Viera
2 : 0
CD Buzanada
17 Apr
CD Buzanada
1 : 1
Estrella
12 Apr
San Miguel
1 : 3
CD Buzanada
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Palmas B 34 22 10 2 66:17 76
2 UD San Fernando 34 21 10 3 58:20 73
3 Tamaraceite 34 18 9 7 48:29 63
4 Ibarra 34 18 5 11 49:40 59
5 Mensajero 34 16 8 10 50:37 56
6 Lanzarote 34 16 7 11 56:33 55
7 Panaderia 34 13 11 10 45:39 50
8 CD Marino 34 12 11 11 43:45 47
9 Arucas 34 12 9 13 38:36 45
10 San Bartolome 34 10 15 9 43:35 45
11 Villa Santa Brigida 34 10 11 13 34:42 41
12 Herbania 34 10 10 14 33:41 40
13 CD Santa Ursula 34 10 10 14 29:42 40
14 San Miguel 34 10 7 17 36:54 37
15 CD Buzanada 34 9 5 20 27:54 32
16 Estrella 34 7 9 18 30:57 30
17 Los Llanos 34 7 7 20 25:52 28
18 Union Viera 34 3 10 21 28:65 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 (Play Offs)