Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Mensajero host Ibarra in the Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Ibarra have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while Mensajero have conceded 0.63 and scored 1.75. Past meetings favor Mensajero slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 23, 2025, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.48 - 0.81) back Mensajero to edge this. Mensajero in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ibarra has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Mensajero.
- Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Mensajero.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 provide steady trend data.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mensajero | Ibarra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 17 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 0 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mensajero Compare
Ibarra Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mensajero scored in 75% of their last 32 games.
Ibarra let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Mensajero went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Ibarra lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Palmas B | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 66:17 | 76 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 58:20 | 73 |
| 3 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 48:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Ibarra | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 49:40 | 59 |
| 5 | Mensajero | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 50:37 | 56 |
| 6 | Lanzarote | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 56:33 | 55 |
| 7 | Panaderia | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 45:39 | 50 |
| 8 | CD Marino | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 43:45 | 47 |
| 9 | Arucas | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 38:36 | 45 |
| 10 | San Bartolome | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 43:35 | 45 |
| 11 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 34:42 | 41 |
| 12 | Herbania | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 33:41 | 40 |
| 13 | CD Santa Ursula | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 29:42 | 40 |
| 14 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | CD Buzanada | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 27:54 | 32 |
| 16 | Estrella | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 30:57 | 30 |
| 17 | Los Llanos | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 25:52 | 28 |
| 18 | Union Viera | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 28:65 | 19 |