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Mensajero vs Tenerife C - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Barroso Santana M.
51'
Lopez I.
51'
Lopez I.

AI Match Summary

Mensajero in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mensajero.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Mensajero
15%
Draws
26%
Tenerife C
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mensajero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Tenerife C haven't matched Mensajero's recent run of results.
  • Mensajero are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Mensajero Clean Sheet 68%
Tenerife C Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mensajero Tenerife C
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Mensajero vs Tenerife C
1:0
Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Mensajero vs Tenerife C
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tenerife C vs Mensajero
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mensajero Compare

Top Goalscorer Barroso Santana M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Tenerife C Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mensajero 68 / 100
Tenerife C 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mensajero Tenerife C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mensajero Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mensajero scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Tenerife C has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Mensajero stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Tenerife C lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mensajero VS Tenerife C
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mensajero

(Home)
03 Oct
Villaverde Norte
1 : 2
Mensajero
27 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0
San Miguel
19 Sept
Anaza
1 : 0
Mensajero
13 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0
Tenerife C
09 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 2
Murcia
Page 1 of 6

Tenerife C

(Away)
03 Oct
San Miguel
2 : 0
Tenerife C
25 Sept
Tenerife C
3 : 2
Anaza
19 Sept
Panaderia
3 : 3
Tenerife C
13 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0
Tenerife C
10 May
Tenerife C
0 : 1
San Bartolome
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union Tenerife 5 4 0 1 8:3 12
2 San Miguel 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
3 Panaderia 5 3 1 1 14:11 10
4 UD San Fernando 4 3 0 1 11:2 9
5 Mensajero 4 3 0 1 4:2 9
6 Las Palmas C 5 2 2 1 9:6 8
7 San Bartolome 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
8 CD Marino 5 2 1 2 13:8 7
9 Tenerife C 5 2 1 2 10:9 7
10 Los Llanos 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
11 Estrella 5 2 1 2 7:9 7
12 Lanzarote 4 1 3 0 5:4 6
13 Villa Santa Brigida 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
14 Union Sur Yaiza 5 2 0 3 6:7 6
15 Anaza 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
16 CD Laguna 5 0 1 4 6:12 1
17 Villaverde Norte 5 0 1 4 4:12 1
18 UD Playas de Sotavento 5 0 1 4 3:18 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)