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Menzel Bourguiba vs Oued Ellil Prediction & H2H Stats

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Barhoumi A.
90' Event
Trabelsi A.

AI Match Summary

Menzel Bourguiba in this Ligue 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Menzel Bourguiba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Menzel Bourguiba
20%
Draws
58%
Oued Ellil
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Oued Ellil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Oued Ellil lately — more wins on the board than Menzel Bourguiba.
  • Oued Ellil are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Menzel Bourguiba Clean Sheet 22%
Oued Ellil Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Menzel Bourguiba Oued Ellil
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.72 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Ligue 2
Menzel Bourguiba vs Oued Ellil
2:0
Nov 16, 2024 Ligue 2
Oued Ellil vs Menzel Bourguiba
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Menzel Bourguiba Compare

Top Goalscorer Barhoumi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Trabelsi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Oued Ellil Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Menzel Bourguiba 10 / 100
Oued Ellil 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Menzel Bourguiba Oued Ellil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oued Ellil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oued Ellil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Menzel Bourguiba's goal record stands at 44% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Solid form: Menzel Bourguiba remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Menzel Bourguiba VS Oued Ellil
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Menzel Bourguiba

(Home)
11 May
Sporting Ben Arous
6 : 0
Menzel Bourguiba
01 May
Menzel Bourguiba
1 : 0
EM Mahdia
27 Apr
Hammam-Lif
1 : 0
Menzel Bourguiba
18 Apr
Menzel Bourguiba
0 : 4
Kerkennah
13 Apr
Hamam-Sousse
3 : 0
Menzel Bourguiba
Page 1 of 7

Oued Ellil

(Away)
08 Feb
Sahline
2 : 1
Oued Ellil
24 May
Kalaa
2 : 2
Oued Ellil
17 May
Oued Ellil
2 : 1
EM Mahdia
10 May
Ariana
0 : 1
Oued Ellil
05 May
Oued Ellil
1 : 1
Hammam-Lif
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Marsa 26 15 8 3 40:17 53
2 Megrine 26 15 7 4 49:23 52
3 Jendouba Sport 26 14 7 5 38:19 49
4 Hamam-Sousse 26 8 12 6 36:28 36
5 Korba 26 9 9 8 22:28 36
6 Hammam-Lif 26 8 10 8 25:26 34
7 Msaken 26 7 12 7 18:17 33
8 Ariana 26 10 3 13 33:33 33
9 Kalaa 26 8 7 11 30:34 31
10 EM Mahdia 26 9 4 13 26:37 31
11 Moknine 26 7 9 10 27:30 30
12 Menzel Bourguiba 26 7 9 10 18:27 30
13 Oued Ellil 26 6 9 11 23:32 27
14 Rades 26 2 8 16 16:50 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 JS Kairouan 26 15 9 2 30:11 54
2 Kasserine 26 16 5 5 36:17 53
3 Kerkennah 26 12 8 6 36:21 44
4 Sfax Railways 26 12 8 6 35:22 44
5 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 13 5 8 32:23 44
6 BS Bouhajla 26 9 6 11 21:22 33
7 Redeyef 26 10 3 13 23:25 33
8 Djelma 26 9 5 12 26:26 32
9 Sidi Bouzid 26 8 8 10 27:28 32
10 Chebba 26 9 5 12 24:29 32
11 Stade Gabesien 26 8 6 12 13:23 30
12 AS Agareb 26 7 9 10 23:35 30
13 ES Jerba 26 6 8 12 15:24 26
14 Espoir Rogba 26 3 5 18 19:54 13
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)