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Merani Martvili vs Odishi 1919

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Merani Martvili play Odishi 1919 in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Merani Martvili averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Odishi 1919 averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Merani Martvili won 1, Odishi 1919 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Merani Martvili and 0.88 for Odishi 1919. This points to a Odishi 1919 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Merani Martvili
33%
Draws
35%
Odishi 1919
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Odishi 1919

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Merani Martvili picked up more points recently compared to Odishi 1919.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Merani Martvili Clean Sheet 25%
Odishi 1919 Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merani Martvili Odishi 1919
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 12 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Odishi 1919 vs Merani Martvili
1:2
Mar 11, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Martvili vs Odishi 1919
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Merani Martvili Compare

Top Goalscorer Kharabadze N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Odishi 1919 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kvernadze O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Akhaladze G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merani Martvili 34 / 100
Odishi 1919 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merani Martvili Odishi 1919

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Odishi 1919 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Merani Martvili attacking → ← attacking Odishi 1919

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merani Martvili scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Odishi 1919 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Merani Martvili went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Odishi 1919 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 47
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC Gareji Sagarejo19116224:1239
2Telavi19105422:1535
3Merani Martvili1986523:2030
4Shturmi1969417:1427
5Dusheti1974818:2325
6Bolnisi1967625:2025
7Odishi 19191966723:2624
8Kolkheti 19131946924:2418
9Gori1937913:2416
10Samtredia19441125:3616