Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Merani Tbilisi vs Iberia 1999 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Merani Tbilisi host Iberia 1999 2 in the Liga 3. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Iberia 1999 2 have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while Merani Tbilisi have conceded 1.6 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Iberia 1999 2 slightly — 0-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 7, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.31, favoring Iberia 1999 2. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Merani Tbilisi
35%
Draws
25%
Iberia 1999 2
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Merani Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Iberia 1999 2 come out ahead of Merani Tbilisi on wins alone.
  • Merani Tbilisi are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Merani Tbilisi Clean Sheet 18%
Iberia 1999 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merani Tbilisi Iberia 1999 2
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 14
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Liga 3
Iberia 1999 2 vs Merani Tbilisi
1:0
Oct 10, 2024 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Iberia 1999 2
3:3
Apr 18, 2024 Liga 3
Iberia 1999 2 vs Merani Tbilisi
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merani Tbilisi 67 / 100
Iberia 1999 2 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merani Tbilisi Iberia 1999 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merani Tbilisi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Merani Tbilisi remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Merani Tbilisi's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Iberia 1999 2 conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Merani Tbilisi VS Iberia 1999 2
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Merani Tbilisi

(Home)
09 Oct
Merani Tbilisi
2 : 2
Iveria Khashuri
17 Sept
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
2 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
10 Sept
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
Khobi
03 Sept
Margveti 2006
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
27 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
FC Gardabani
Page 1 of 6

Iberia 1999 2

(Away)
09 Oct
Orbi
3 : 3
Iberia 1999 2
17 Sept
Iberia 1999 2
3 : 0
WIT Georgia
10 Sept
FC Tbilisi 2025
1 : 1
Iberia 1999 2
03 Sept
Iberia 1999 2
1 : 1
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
28 Aug
Gonio
2 : 2
Iberia 1999 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guria 23 17 3 3 67:11 54
2 FC Tbilisi 2025 23 15 7 1 57:14 52
3 Iberia 1999 2 23 11 9 3 37:19 42
4 Merani Tbilisi 23 11 7 5 39:29 40
5 WIT Georgia 23 11 5 7 37:25 38
6 Gonio 23 11 5 7 32:24 38
7 Orbi 23 10 5 8 39:28 35
8 Didube 23 9 7 7 35:31 34
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 23 9 5 9 34:33 32
10 Locomotive Tbilisi 23 8 7 8 30:29 31
11 Margveti 2006 23 9 3 11 30:39 30
12 Khobi 23 7 3 13 31:46 24
13 FC Gardabani 23 4 4 15 19:56 16
14 Betlemi Keda 23 4 4 15 15:55 16
15 Iveria Khashuri 23 1 11 11 24:48 14
16 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 23 2 5 16 19:58 11
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)