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Merani Tbilisi vs Iveria Khashuri - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Keburia K.
13' Event
Khochua I.
41' Event
Keburia K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Merani Tbilisi
35%
Draws
12%
Iveria Khashuri
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Merani Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Merani Tbilisi lately — more wins on the board than Iveria Khashuri.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Merani Tbilisi taking it.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Merani Tbilisi Clean Sheet 10%
Iveria Khashuri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merani Tbilisi Iveria Khashuri
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 4
Draws 7 10
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.48 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Iveria Khashuri
2:2
Apr 29, 2026 Liga 3
Iveria Khashuri vs Merani Tbilisi
0:3
Mar 6, 2005 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Tbilisi vs Iveria Khashuri
0:1
Nov 16, 2004 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Iveria Khashuri vs Merani Tbilisi
3:2
May 3, 1997 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Merani Tbilisi vs Iveria Khashuri
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Merani Tbilisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Khochua I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Burjanadze T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Iveria Khashuri Compare

Top Goalscorer Keburia K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merani Tbilisi 83 / 100
Iveria Khashuri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merani Tbilisi Iveria Khashuri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merani Tbilisi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iveria Khashuri let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Merani Tbilisi remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Merani Tbilisi's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Merani Tbilisi VS Iveria Khashuri
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Merani Tbilisi

(Home)
17 Sept
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
2 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
10 Sept
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
Khobi
03 Sept
Margveti 2006
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
27 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
FC Gardabani
20 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
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Iveria Khashuri

(Away)
17 Sept
Iveria Khashuri
2 : 2
Didube
10 Sept
Orbi
2 : 2
Iveria Khashuri
03 Sept
Iveria Khashuri
2 : 2
WIT Georgia
27 Aug
FC Tbilisi 2025
5 : 0
Iveria Khashuri
20 Aug
Iveria Khashuri
2 : 5
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guria 22 16 3 3 63:11 51
2 FC Tbilisi 2025 22 14 7 1 54:14 49
3 Iberia 1999 2 22 11 8 3 34:16 41
4 Merani Tbilisi 22 11 6 5 37:27 39
5 WIT Georgia 23 11 5 7 37:25 38
6 Gonio 23 11 5 7 32:24 38
7 Orbi 22 10 4 8 36:25 34
8 Didube 23 9 7 7 35:31 34
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 22 9 5 8 34:30 32
10 Locomotive Tbilisi 23 8 7 8 30:29 31
11 Margveti 2006 22 9 3 10 30:35 30
12 Khobi 22 6 3 13 28:45 21
13 FC Gardabani 22 4 4 14 18:53 16
14 Iveria Khashuri 22 1 10 11 22:46 13
15 Betlemi Keda 22 3 4 15 13:54 13
16 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 22 2 5 15 18:56 11
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)