Sport Picks
Merani Tbilisi vs Locomotive Tbilisi 2
Georgia
Liga 3 2025 
Match Events
15'
15'
Melashvili D.
69'
69'
Ninidze N.
90'
90'
Khochua I.
AI Match Summary
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 in this Liga 3 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Locomotive Tbilisi 2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Merani Tbilisi lately — more wins on the board than Locomotive Tbilisi 2.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Merani Tbilisi have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Merani Tbilisi Clean Sheet 10%
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Merani Tbilisi | Locomotive Tbilisi 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.13 | 1.33 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 5, 2025 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Locomotive Tbilisi 2
1:2
Aug 21, 2025 Liga 3
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 vs Merani Tbilisi
0:1
Oct 31, 2024 Liga 3
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 vs Merani Tbilisi
1:2
May 9, 2024 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Locomotive Tbilisi 2
3:0
Apr 21, 2006 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 vs Merani Tbilisi
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Merani Tbilisi Compare
Top Goalscorer Khochua I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 Compare
Top Goalscorer Melashvili D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ninidze N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Merani Tbilisi 34 / 100
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Merani Tbilisi Locomotive Tbilisi 2
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LOC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Locomotive Tbilisi 2 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
Merani Tbilisi scored in 64% of their last 33 games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Merani Tbilisi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Merani Tbilisi VS Locomotive Tbilisi 2
1.5 Goals Scored 1.67
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
Merani Tbilisi
(Home) 26 Jun
Guria
6 : 1 Merani Tbilisi
21 Jun
Merani Tbilisi
1 : 1 Orbi
14 Jun
WIT Georgia
0 : 1 Merani Tbilisi
28 May
Merani Tbilisi
0 : 2 FC Tbilisi 2025
21 May
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
0 : 1 Merani Tbilisi
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21 Jun
Merani Tbilisi
1 : 1 Orbi
28 May
Merani Tbilisi
0 : 2 FC Tbilisi 2025
14 May
Merani Tbilisi
1 : 1 Gonio
03 May
Merani Tbilisi
1 : 0 Locomotive Tbilisi
24 Apr
Merani Tbilisi
2 : 0 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
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Locomotive Tbilisi 2
(Away) 05 Dec
Merani Tbilisi
1 : 2 Locomotive Tbilisi 2
28 Nov
Locomotive Tbilisi 2
0 : 2 Gori
20 Nov
Orbi
1 : 3 Locomotive Tbilisi 2
13 Nov
Locomotive Tbilisi 2
3 : 1 Khobi
06 Nov
WIT Georgia
4 : 1 Locomotive Tbilisi 2
Page 1 of 6
05 Dec
Merani Tbilisi
1 : 2 Locomotive Tbilisi 2
20 Nov
Orbi
1 : 3 Locomotive Tbilisi 2
06 Nov
WIT Georgia
4 : 1 Locomotive Tbilisi 2
24 Oct
Dusheti
2 : 1 Locomotive Tbilisi 2
09 Oct
Didube
3 : 3 Locomotive Tbilisi 2
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shturmi | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 68:22 | 70 |
| 2 | Gori | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 58:28 | 67 |
| 3 | Odishi 1919 | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 59:19 | 64 |
| 4 | Dusheti | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 79:35 | 63 |
| 5 | FC Tbilisi 2025 | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 59:32 | 58 |
| 6 | WIT Georgia | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 64:32 | 52 |
| 7 | Orbi | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 58:40 | 44 |
| 8 | Didube | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 47:43 | 43 |
| 9 | Merani Tbilisi | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 39:52 | 32 |
| 10 | Betlemi Keda | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 43:71 | 29 |
| 11 | FC Gardabani | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 37:67 | 29 |
| 12 | Margveti 2006 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 36:71 | 28 |
| 13 | Locomotive Tbilisi 2 | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 43:68 | 27 |
| 14 | Khobi | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 35:63 | 26 |
| 15 | Borjomi | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 34:60 | 23 |
| 16 | Bakhmaro Chokhatauri | 30 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 18:74 | 13 |
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2025 (Relegation)