Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Merani Tbilisi vs Margveti 2006

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Papava S.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 game between Merani Tbilisi and Margveti 2006 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Margveti 2006.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Merani Tbilisi
17%
Draws
70%
Margveti 2006
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Margveti 2006

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Merani Tbilisi's 1 goals per match outpaces what Margveti 2006 have produced (0.75).
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Margveti 2006 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Merani Tbilisi Clean Sheet 20%
Margveti 2006 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merani Tbilisi Margveti 2006
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Margveti 2006
0:1
Oct 2, 2025 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Margveti 2006
3:2
May 1, 2025 Liga 3
Margveti 2006 vs Merani Tbilisi
2:1
Jun 10, 2024 Georgian Cup
Margveti 2006 vs Merani Tbilisi
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Merani Tbilisi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Margveti 2006 Compare

Top Goalscorer Papava S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merani Tbilisi 16 / 100
Margveti 2006 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merani Tbilisi Margveti 2006

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merani Tbilisi scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Margveti 2006's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Merani Tbilisi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Merani Tbilisi VS Margveti 2006
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Tbilisi 202515123040:839
2Guria15103242:1033
3Iberia 1999 21594225:931
4Gonio1593325:1130
5Orbi1582526:1526
6Merani Tbilisi1574421:1625
7Didube1574422:1825
8WIT Georgia1573521:1424
9Dinamo Tbilisi 21553718:1818
10Khobi1552820:2817
11Locomotive Tbilisi1544714:2116
12Margveti 20061551915:3016
13FC Gardabani1534814:3013
14Iveria Khashuri1516813:289
15Betlemi Keda1523109:339
16FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi1503128:443