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Merani Tbilisi vs Orbi Prediction & H2H Stats

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Bokuchava N.
90' Event
Ugrekhelidze L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Merani Tbilisi
20%
Draws
19%
Orbi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Merani Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Merani Tbilisi haven't matched Orbi's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Merani Tbilisi's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Merani Tbilisi Clean Sheet 13%
Orbi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merani Tbilisi Orbi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.47 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Orbi
1:1
Nov 6, 2025 Liga 3
Orbi vs Merani Tbilisi
2:0
Jun 3, 2025 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Orbi
4:3
Oct 4, 2024 Liga 3
Orbi vs Merani Tbilisi
1:5
Apr 11, 2024 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Orbi
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Merani Tbilisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Ugrekhelidze L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Orbi Compare

Top Goalscorer Bokuchava N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merani Tbilisi 66 / 100
Orbi 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merani Tbilisi Orbi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merani Tbilisi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Merani Tbilisi stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Merani Tbilisi's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Orbi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Merani Tbilisi VS Orbi
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Merani Tbilisi

(Home)
17 Sept
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
2 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
10 Sept
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
Khobi
03 Sept
Margveti 2006
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
27 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
FC Gardabani
20 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
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Orbi

(Away)
17 Sept
Locomotive Tbilisi
2 : 0
Orbi
10 Sept
Orbi
2 : 2
Iveria Khashuri
03 Sept
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
3 : 2
Orbi
27 Aug
Orbi
1 : 0
Khobi
20 Aug
Margveti 2006
2 : 1
Orbi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guria 22 16 3 3 63:11 51
2 FC Tbilisi 2025 22 14 7 1 54:14 49
3 Iberia 1999 2 22 11 8 3 34:16 41
4 Merani Tbilisi 22 11 6 5 37:27 39
5 Gonio 22 11 5 6 32:22 38
6 WIT Georgia 22 10 5 7 35:25 35
7 Orbi 22 10 4 8 36:25 34
8 Didube 22 9 7 6 34:28 34
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 22 9 5 8 34:30 32
10 Margveti 2006 22 9 3 10 30:35 30
11 Locomotive Tbilisi 22 7 7 8 27:28 28
12 Khobi 22 6 3 13 28:45 21
13 FC Gardabani 22 4 4 14 18:53 16
14 Iveria Khashuri 22 1 10 11 22:46 13
15 Betlemi Keda 22 3 4 15 13:54 13
16 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 22 2 5 15 18:56 11
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)