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Merani Tbilisi vs Samegrelo

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2017
Merani Tbilisi Logo

Merani Tbilisi

4 - 0
FT
Samegrelo Logo

Samegrelo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2017 game between Merani Tbilisi and Samegrelo finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merani Tbilisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Merani Tbilisi
20%
Draws
44%
Samegrelo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Samegrelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Samegrelo's 1.63 goals per match outpaces what Merani Tbilisi have produced (1.31).
  • Samegrelo are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Liga 3 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Merani Tbilisi Clean Sheet 20%
Samegrelo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merani Tbilisi Samegrelo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.31 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2017 Liga 3
Samegrelo vs Merani Tbilisi
1:5
Sep 19, 2017 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Samegrelo
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merani Tbilisi 20 / 100
Samegrelo 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merani Tbilisi Samegrelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samegrelo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samegrelo has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Merani Tbilisi scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Merani Tbilisi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Merani Tbilisi VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Merani Tbilisi

(Home)
20 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
13 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
0 : 5
Guria
06 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
2 : 2
Didube
26 Jun
Guria
6 : 1
Merani Tbilisi
21 Jun
Merani Tbilisi
1 : 1
Orbi
Page 1 of 6

Samegrelo

(Away)
07 Aug
Samegrelo
0 : 3
Merani Martvili
07 Jul
Samegrelo
4 : 3
Didube
06 Dec
Samgurali II
2 : 1
Samegrelo
29 Nov
Samegrelo
2 : 0
FC Kolkheti Khobi
21 Nov
Betlemi Keda
1 : 0
Samegrelo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shevardeni Tbilisi 18 13 4 1 49:10 43
2 Telavi 18 12 3 3 56:15 39
3 Merani Tbilisi 18 12 3 3 45:21 39
4 FC Gardabani 18 9 4 5 40:18 31
5 Mark Stars Tbilisi 18 7 3 8 37:32 24
6 Khoni 18 5 6 7 13:26 21
7 Chiatura 18 5 2 11 15:33 17
8 Betlemi Keda 18 4 4 10 23:44 16
9 FC Kolkheti Khobi 18 3 4 11 9:39 13
10 Samegrelo 18 1 5 12 12:61 8
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2017 (Relegation)