Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mercadal vs Formentera

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Losada F.
78' Event
Pineda M.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Mercadal
30%
Draws
37%
Formentera
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Formentera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Formentera have won more games recently than Mercadal.
  • Model gives Formentera a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Mercadal Clean Sheet 10%
Formentera Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mercadal Formentera
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 4 9
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0.9 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mercadal vs Formentera
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Mercadal
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mercadal vs Formentera
0:1
Apr 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Mercadal
4:0
Dec 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mercadal vs Formentera
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mercadal Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Formentera Compare

Top Goalscorer Losada F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mercadal 10 / 100
Formentera 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mercadal Formentera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Formentera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mercadal scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Formentera let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Mercadal has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mercadal VS Formentera
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mercadal

(Home)
12 Sept
Inter Ibiza
0 : 2
Mercadal
05 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 1
Formentera
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2
Alcudia
03 May
Mallorca B
7 : 0
Mercadal
29 Apr
Llosetense
6 : 1
Mercadal
Page 1 of 6

Formentera

(Away)
13 Sept
Formentera
3 : 1
Porreres
05 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 1
Formentera
10 May
Llosetense
2 : 2
Formentera
03 May
Formentera
3 : 1
Cardassar
26 Apr
Manacor
3 : 0
Formentera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcudia 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 SD Ibiza 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
3 PE Sant Jordi 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
4 Manacor 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
5 Constancia 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
6 Formentera 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
7 Mercadal 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
8 Cardassar 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
9 Llosetense 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
10 Porreres 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
11 Andratx 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
12 Santanyi 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
13 Platges de Calvia 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
14 Binissalem 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
15 Migjorn 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
16 Sineu 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
17 Arenal 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
18 Inter Ibiza 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 (Play Offs)