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Mercadal vs Penya Arrabal

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mercadal in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mercadal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Mercadal
20%
Draws
22%
Penya Arrabal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mercadal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mercadal lately — more wins on the board than Penya Arrabal.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Mercadal taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Mercadal Clean Sheet 20%
Penya Arrabal Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mercadal Penya Arrabal
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 5 1
Losses 14 23
Goals Scored 1 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mercadal vs Penya Arrabal
1:0
Oct 23, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Penya Arrabal vs Mercadal
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mercadal 85 / 100
Penya Arrabal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mercadal Penya Arrabal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mercadal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penya Arrabal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Mercadal scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Mercadal has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mercadal VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mercadal

(Home)
26 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Mercadal
19 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 2
Arenal
12 Sept
Inter Ibiza
0 : 2
Mercadal
05 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 1
Formentera
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2
Alcudia
Page 1 of 7

Penya Arrabal

(Away)
14 May
Collerense
4 : 1
Penya Arrabal
07 May
Penya Arrabal
3 : 1
Felanitx
01 May
CD Montuiri
4 : 2
Penya Arrabal
19 Apr
Penya Arrabal
1 : 4
UD Poblense
17 Apr
Constancia
2 : 0
Penya Arrabal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 38 23 10 5 51:23 79
2 UD Poblense 38 24 6 8 71:44 78
3 Constancia 38 23 9 6 62:25 78
4 Binissalem 38 22 10 6 63:30 76
5 Llosetense 38 23 6 9 70:44 75
6 Pena Deportiva 38 19 12 7 53:25 69
7 Santanyi 38 18 9 11 53:43 63
8 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 12 18 8 47:36 54
9 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 55:45 52
10 Collerense 38 12 11 15 40:49 47
11 CD Montuiri 38 13 7 18 46:58 46
12 Ferriolense 38 12 8 18 48:55 44
13 Campos 38 10 14 14 43:52 44
14 Alcudia 38 11 10 17 43:61 43
15 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:56 42
16 CD Ferrerias 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Alaior 38 10 8 20 35:61 38
18 Penya Arrabal 38 8 3 27 45:78 27
19 Norteno CF 38 7 6 25 24:56 27
20 Arenal 38 6 7 25 32:66 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)