Sport Picks
Match Events
53'
53'
Benitez B. F.
72'
72'
Duarte B.
90'
90'
Cuella L.
AI Match Summary
Berazategui in this Primera C matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Berazategui.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mercedes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Berazategui have won more games recently than Mercedes.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Mercedes taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Berazategui here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Mercedes Clean Sheet 68%
Berazategui Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mercedes | Berazategui |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 12 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 Primera C
Berazategui vs Mercedes
0:1
Mar 28, 2026 Primera C
Mercedes vs Berazategui
0:2
Aug 8, 2025 Primera C
Mercedes vs Berazategui
1:3
Apr 27, 2025 Primera C
Berazategui vs Mercedes
3:1
Aug 24, 2024 Primera C
Berazategui vs Mercedes
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mercedes Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Berazategui Compare
Top Goalscorer Benitez B. F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cuella L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mercedes 95 / 100
Berazategui 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mercedes Berazategui
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Mercedes went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Mercedes's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Berazategui's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Mercedes VS Berazategui
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Mercedes
(Home) 18 Jul
Mercedes
2 : 0 El Porvenir
12 Jul
Mercedes
1 : 1 Victoriano Arenas
06 Jul
CSR Espanol
0 : 3 Mercedes
27 Jun
Mercedes
5 : 0 Justo Jose de Urquiza
14 Jun
CA Lugano
1 : 0 Mercedes
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Mercedes
2 : 0 El Porvenir
12 Jul
Mercedes
1 : 1 Victoriano Arenas
27 Jun
Mercedes
5 : 0 Justo Jose de Urquiza
06 Jun
Mercedes
0 : 0 Deportivo Paraguayo
23 May
Mercedes
2 : 0 Leandro N. Alem
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Berazategui
(Away) 11 Jul
Deportivo Paraguayo
0 : 1 Berazategui
05 Jul
Berazategui
0 : 2 Puerto Nuevo
28 Jun
Leandro N. Alem
1 : 1 Berazategui
15 Jun
Defensores de Cambaceres
0 : 1 Berazategui
08 Jun
Berazategui
2 : 1 Juventud Unida San Miguel
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Deportivo Paraguayo
0 : 1 Berazategui
28 Jun
Leandro N. Alem
1 : 1 Berazategui
15 Jun
Defensores de Cambaceres
0 : 1 Berazategui
03 Jun
Sacachispas
1 : 0 Berazategui
16 May
Atlas
0 : 0 Berazategui
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacachispas | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 24:14 | 34 |
| 2 | Mercedes | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 22:11 | 32 |
| 3 | Berazategui | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 23:15 | 32 |
| 4 | CA Lugano | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 25:19 | 32 |
| 5 | Estrella Del Sur | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 22:17 | 31 |
| 6 | CSR Espanol | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 26:18 | 30 |
| 7 | Puerto Nuevo | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 18:19 | 30 |
| 8 | Victoriano Arenas | 21 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 17:13 | 28 |
| 9 | Leandro N. Alem | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 24:33 | 26 |
| 10 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18:19 | 22 |
| 11 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 15:21 | 22 |
| 12 | Justo Jose de Urquiza | 21 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 9:18 | 20 |
| 13 | Argentino de Rosario | 21 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 19:26 | 18 |
| 14 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 10:26 | 16 |
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canuelas | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 23:13 | 36 |
| 2 | Club Lujan | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 22:14 | 33 |
| 3 | Deportivo Espanol | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 18:14 | 31 |
| 4 | Leones de Rosario | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 19:19 | 29 |
| 5 | Yupanqui | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24:21 | 28 |
| 6 | General Lamadrid | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 18:20 | 28 |
| 7 | Sportivo Barracas | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22:21 | 25 |
| 8 | El Porvenir | 20 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 15:15 | 25 |
| 9 | Atlas | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 16:18 | 25 |
| 10 | Central Cordoba (Rosario) | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 14:15 | 23 |
| 11 | CSD Central Ballester | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18:21 | 22 |
| 12 | Deportivo Muniz | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 15:20 | 21 |
| 13 | Claypole | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 15:23 | 21 |
| 14 | Fenix | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 13:21 | 20 |
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)