Sport Picks
Mercedes vs El Porvenir - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Primera C 
Match Events
60'
60'
Cruz Vera Borda J.
81'
81'
Ruiz F. C.
AI Match Summary
The Primera C game between Mercedes and El Porvenir finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mercedes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mercedes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Mercedes carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Mercedes's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Primera C form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Mercedes Clean Sheet 68%
El Porvenir Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mercedes | El Porvenir |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 14 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 Primera C
Mercedes vs El Porvenir
2:0
Mar 21, 2026 Primera C
El Porvenir vs Mercedes
1:1
Jun 27, 2025 Primera C
Mercedes vs El Porvenir
0:0
Mar 18, 2025 Primera C
El Porvenir vs Mercedes
2:1
Sep 11, 2024 Primera C
Mercedes vs El Porvenir
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mercedes Compare
Top Goalscorer Cruz Vera Borda J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ruiz F. C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
El Porvenir Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mercedes 59 / 100
El Porvenir 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mercedes El Porvenir
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mercedes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mercedes found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
El Porvenir has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Mercedes went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mercedes VS El Porvenir
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Mercedes
(Home) 05 Oct
Deportivo Paraguayo
1 : 1 Mercedes
25 Sept
Mercedes
1 : 0 Puerto Nuevo
20 Sept
Leandro N. Alem
0 : 1 Mercedes
10 Sept
Mercedes
1 : 1 Deportivo Espanol
04 Sept
Mercedes
0 : 3 Defensores de Cambaceres
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Mercedes
1 : 0 Puerto Nuevo
10 Sept
Mercedes
1 : 1 Deportivo Espanol
04 Sept
Mercedes
0 : 3 Defensores de Cambaceres
22 Aug
Mercedes
2 : 0 Sacachispas
31 Jul
Mercedes
1 : 1 Estrella Del Sur
Page 1 of 3
El Porvenir
(Away) 05 Oct
El Porvenir
1 : 1 Canuelas
29 Sept
Deportivo Muniz
3 : 2 El Porvenir
21 Sept
El Porvenir
0 : 2 Deportivo Espanol
12 Sept
Juventud Unida San Miguel
0 : 1 El Porvenir
05 Sept
Central Cordoba (Rosario)
2 : 0 El Porvenir
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Deportivo Muniz
3 : 2 El Porvenir
12 Sept
Juventud Unida San Miguel
0 : 1 El Porvenir
05 Sept
Central Cordoba (Rosario)
2 : 0 El Porvenir
16 Aug
Justo Jose de Urquiza
0 : 1 El Porvenir
28 Jul
Sportivo Barracas
3 : 2 El Porvenir
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Berazategui | 31 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 37:24 | 48 |
| 2 | CSR Espanol | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 42:28 | 47 |
| 3 | Sacachispas | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 32:26 | 47 |
| 4 | CA Lugano | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 35:28 | 46 |
| 5 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 38:31 | 45 |
| 6 | Estrella Del Sur | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 31:29 | 45 |
| 7 | Mercedes | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 30:24 | 44 |
| 8 | Victoriano Arenas | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 24:19 | 44 |
| 9 | Puerto Nuevo | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 28:35 | 38 |
| 10 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 25:31 | 36 |
| 11 | Justo Jose de Urquiza | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 19:26 | 32 |
| 12 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 23:39 | 32 |
| 13 | Leandro N. Alem | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:56 | 31 |
| 14 | Argentino de Rosario | 31 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 30:41 | 27 |
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Lujan | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 45:22 | 61 |
| 2 | Canuelas | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 39:22 | 58 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba (Rosario) | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 32:22 | 49 |
| 4 | Deportivo Espanol | 31 | 11 | 16 | 4 | 25:16 | 49 |
| 5 | Leones de Rosario | 31 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 29:24 | 48 |
| 6 | General Lamadrid | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 23:27 | 40 |
| 7 | Sportivo Barracas | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 32:32 | 39 |
| 8 | CSD Central Ballester | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 29:30 | 38 |
| 9 | Atlas | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 23:27 | 37 |
| 10 | El Porvenir | 31 | 7 | 16 | 8 | 26:31 | 37 |
| 11 | Yupanqui | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 33:35 | 35 |
| 12 | Fenix | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 23:30 | 34 |
| 13 | Claypole | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 25:39 | 33 |
| 14 | Deportivo Muniz | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 22:36 | 29 |
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)
