Sport Picks
Mercedes vs Estrella Del Sur - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Primera C 
Match Events
47'
47'
Sanchez Olmos L.
84'
84'
David G.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Primera C matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mercedes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Estrella Del Sur lately — more wins on the board than Mercedes.
- Model gives Mercedes a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Primera C form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Mercedes Clean Sheet 68%
Estrella Del Sur Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mercedes | Estrella Del Sur |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 12 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 31, 2026 Primera C
Mercedes vs Estrella Del Sur
1:1
Apr 5, 2026 Primera C
Estrella Del Sur vs Mercedes
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mercedes Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanchez Olmos L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Estrella Del Sur Compare
Top Goalscorer David G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mercedes 51 / 100
Estrella Del Sur 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mercedes Estrella Del Sur
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mercedes scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
Estrella Del Sur has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Mercedes went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Mercedes VS Estrella Del Sur
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Mercedes
(Home) 05 Oct
Deportivo Paraguayo
1 : 1 Mercedes
25 Sept
Mercedes
1 : 0 Puerto Nuevo
20 Sept
Leandro N. Alem
0 : 1 Mercedes
10 Sept
Mercedes
1 : 1 Deportivo Espanol
04 Sept
Mercedes
0 : 3 Defensores de Cambaceres
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Mercedes
1 : 0 Puerto Nuevo
10 Sept
Mercedes
1 : 1 Deportivo Espanol
04 Sept
Mercedes
0 : 3 Defensores de Cambaceres
22 Aug
Mercedes
2 : 0 Sacachispas
31 Jul
Mercedes
1 : 1 Estrella Del Sur
Page 1 of 3
Estrella Del Sur
(Away) 04 Oct
Sacachispas
0 : 0 Estrella Del Sur
26 Sept
Estrella Del Sur
2 : 1 Argentino de Rosario
20 Sept
CA Lugano
1 : 1 Estrella Del Sur
12 Sept
Estrella Del Sur
1 : 1 Yupanqui
06 Sept
Berazategui
2 : 0 Estrella Del Sur
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Sacachispas
0 : 0 Estrella Del Sur
20 Sept
CA Lugano
1 : 1 Estrella Del Sur
06 Sept
Berazategui
2 : 0 Estrella Del Sur
24 Aug
CSR Espanol
2 : 0 Estrella Del Sur
15 Aug
Canuelas
1 : 2 Estrella Del Sur
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Berazategui | 31 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 37:24 | 48 |
| 2 | CSR Espanol | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 42:28 | 47 |
| 3 | Sacachispas | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 32:26 | 47 |
| 4 | CA Lugano | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 35:28 | 46 |
| 5 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 38:31 | 45 |
| 6 | Estrella Del Sur | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 31:29 | 45 |
| 7 | Mercedes | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 30:24 | 44 |
| 8 | Victoriano Arenas | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 24:19 | 44 |
| 9 | Puerto Nuevo | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 28:35 | 38 |
| 10 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 25:31 | 36 |
| 11 | Justo Jose de Urquiza | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 19:26 | 32 |
| 12 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 23:39 | 32 |
| 13 | Leandro N. Alem | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:56 | 31 |
| 14 | Argentino de Rosario | 31 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 30:41 | 27 |
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Lujan | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 45:22 | 61 |
| 2 | Canuelas | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 39:22 | 58 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba (Rosario) | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 32:22 | 49 |
| 4 | Deportivo Espanol | 31 | 11 | 16 | 4 | 25:16 | 49 |
| 5 | Leones de Rosario | 31 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 29:24 | 48 |
| 6 | General Lamadrid | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 23:27 | 40 |
| 7 | Sportivo Barracas | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 32:32 | 39 |
| 8 | CSD Central Ballester | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 29:30 | 38 |
| 9 | Atlas | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 23:27 | 37 |
| 10 | El Porvenir | 31 | 7 | 16 | 8 | 26:31 | 37 |
| 11 | Yupanqui | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 33:35 | 35 |
| 12 | Fenix | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 23:30 | 34 |
| 13 | Claypole | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 25:39 | 33 |
| 14 | Deportivo Muniz | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 22:36 | 29 |
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)
