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Mercedes vs Estrella Del Sur

Argentina Argentina

Primera C
Sat, Aug 1, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mercedes host Estrella Del Sur in the Primera C. This one's hard to separate. Mercedes have averaged 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded recently, against Estrella Del Sur's 1.25 scored and 0.75 conceded. Head-to-head, Mercedes have won 0 to Estrella Del Sur's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 0.88, favoring Mercedes. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Mercedes
17%
Draws
13%
Estrella Del Sur
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Mercedes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Mercedes at 1.5 per game, Estrella Del Sur at 1.25.
  • Model gives Mercedes a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Mercedes Clean Sheet 20%
Estrella Del Sur Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mercedes Estrella Del Sur
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 10 10
Draws 12 9
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Primera C
Estrella Del Sur vs Mercedes
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mercedes 67 / 100
Estrella Del Sur 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mercedes Estrella Del Sur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mercedes scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Estrella Del Sur has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Mercedes went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Mercedes VS Estrella Del Sur
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mercedes

(Home)
18 Jul
Mercedes
2 : 0
El Porvenir
12 Jul
Mercedes
1 : 1
Victoriano Arenas
06 Jul
CSR Espanol
0 : 3
Mercedes
27 Jun
Mercedes
5 : 0
Justo Jose de Urquiza
14 Jun
CA Lugano
1 : 0
Mercedes
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Estrella Del Sur

(Away)
12 Jul
Puerto Nuevo
1 : 0
Estrella Del Sur
04 Jul
Estrella Del Sur
3 : 0
Leandro N. Alem
28 Jun
Defensores de Cambaceres
0 : 3
Estrella Del Sur
14 Jun
Juventud Unida San Miguel
2 : 0
Estrella Del Sur
06 Jun
Estrella Del Sur
0 : 0
Sacachispas
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sacachispas19104524:1434
2Berazategui1988323:1432
3CSR Espanol1986526:1730
4Puerto Nuevo2179518:1930
5Mercedes2078521:1129
6CA Lugano2078524:1929
7Estrella Del Sur1977521:1728
8Victoriano Arenas2069517:1327
9Leandro N. Alem2075824:3326
10Juventud Unida San Miguel1957718:1922
11Defensores de Cambaceres2057815:2122
12Justo Jose de Urquiza2031079:1819
13Argentino de Rosario21212719:2618
14Deportivo Paraguayo1937910:2516
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Canuelas2099223:1236
2Club Lujan1996422:1433
3Leones de Rosario1978419:1729
4Yupanqui2077624:2128
5Deportivo Espanol20610417:1428
6General Lamadrid2077618:2028
7Sportivo Barracas2074922:2125
8El Porvenir20413315:1525
9Atlas1967616:1725
10CSD Central Ballester1964918:2122
11Claypole1956815:2321
12Central Cordoba (Rosario)1948712:1520
13Fenix20551013:2120
14Deportivo Muniz2039814:2018
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)