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Merelbeke vs Cercle Brugge 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Leliaert A.
47' Event
Balcaen X.
58' Event
Binst N.

AI Match Summary

Merelbeke in this National Division 1 - VV matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Merelbeke.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Merelbeke
30%
Draws
29%
Cercle Brugge 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Merelbeke

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Merelbeke have won more games recently than Cercle Brugge 2.
  • Model gives Merelbeke a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National Division 1 - VV form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Merelbeke Clean Sheet 17%
Cercle Brugge 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merelbeke Cercle Brugge 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 4 8
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.52 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Merelbeke vs Cercle Brugge 2
3:1
Feb 28, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Merelbeke vs Cercle Brugge 2
2:1
Oct 1, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Cercle Brugge 2 vs Merelbeke
1:0
Jan 19, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Cercle Brugge 2 vs Merelbeke
0:0
Sep 28, 2024 National Division 1 - VV
Merelbeke vs Cercle Brugge 2
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Merelbeke Compare

Top Goalscorer Balcaen X.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Binst N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Cercle Brugge 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Leliaert A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merelbeke 39 / 100
Cercle Brugge 2 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merelbeke Cercle Brugge 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merelbeke Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cercle Brugge 2 conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Merelbeke found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Merelbeke stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Merelbeke VS Cercle Brugge 2
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Merelbeke

(Home)
06 Nov
Merelbeke
2 : 1
Heist
30 Oct
Merelbeke
0 : 4
SK Roeselare
24 Oct
Houtvenne
1 : 1
Merelbeke
18 Oct
Knokke
0 : 3
Merelbeke
11 Oct
Merelbeke
0 : 2
Mandel United
Page 1 of 6

Cercle Brugge 2

(Away)
07 Nov
Mandel United
3 : 1
Cercle Brugge 2
01 Nov
Leuven B
3 : 3
Cercle Brugge 2
25 Oct
Cercle Brugge 2
1 : 4
Hoogstraten
17 Oct
Thes Sport
2 : 2
Cercle Brugge 2
11 Oct
Cercle Brugge 2
2 : 1
K. Lyra-Lierse
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mandel United 11 8 1 2 22:10 25
2 Houtvenne 11 7 1 3 22:15 22
3 SK Roeselare 11 6 4 1 18:5 22
4 Thes Sport 11 5 4 2 18:12 19
5 Leuven B 11 5 4 2 24:19 19
6 Merelbeke 11 5 3 3 16:13 18
7 Heist 11 5 2 4 23:15 17
8 Belisia Bilzen 11 5 2 4 21:18 17
9 Dessel 11 4 3 4 22:23 15
10 Hoogstraten 11 3 4 4 24:20 13
11 Tienen 11 3 3 5 17:18 12
12 Knokke 11 3 1 7 11:18 10
13 K. Lyra-Lierse 11 2 3 6 17:25 9
14 Cercle Brugge 2 11 2 3 6 16:27 9
15 Zelzate 11 2 3 6 14:26 9
16 KRC Harelbeke 11 2 1 8 9:30 7
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