Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Merelbeke vs Eupen

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup
Sun, Sep 27, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Belgian Cup. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Merelbeke have averaged 1.61 scored and 1.79 conceded recently, against Eupen's 2.07 scored and 1.21 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.15 vs 2.06, favoring Eupen. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Merelbeke
15%
Draws
49%
Eupen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eupen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Eupen have won more games recently than Merelbeke.
  • Model gives Merelbeke a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Eupen arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Merelbeke Clean Sheet 10%
Eupen Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merelbeke Eupen
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 2 7
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.61 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merelbeke 34 / 100
Eupen 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merelbeke Eupen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merelbeke found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Eupen conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Merelbeke remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Eupen's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Merelbeke VS Eupen
1.29 Goals Scored 3.25
0.86 Goals Conceded 1
57% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Merelbeke

(Home)
20 Sept
Merelbeke
3 : 0
KRC Harelbeke
13 Sept
Belisia Bilzen
1 : 0
Merelbeke
06 Sept
Merelbeke
3 : 1
Cercle Brugge 2
28 Aug
Hoogstraten
2 : 3
Merelbeke
08 Aug
Merelbeke
0 : 2
Lierse SK
Page 1 of 6

Eupen

(Away)
19 Sept
Eupen
3 : 1
RFC Liege
13 Sept
Patro Eisden
1 : 2
Eupen
05 Sept
Club Brugge U23
0 : 1
Eupen
21 Aug
Sporting Lokeren
2 : 1
Eupen
15 Aug
Eupen
4 : 1
Genk U23
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Merelbeke -
Eupen -
Nijlen -
Boom -
Houtvenne -
Sporting Lokeren -
Diegem -
Francs Borains -
SK Roeselare -
Patro Eisden -
OC Charleroi -
Habay La Neuve -
Diksmuide Oostende -
Lommel SK -
Londerzeel -
Renaissance Mons -
Heist -
Kortrijk -
Knokke -
RFC Seraing -
Hoogstraten -
Dender -
RFC Liege -
Wellen -
Union Rochefortoise -
Lierse SK -
Oostkamp -
Virton -
Crossing Schaerbeek -
Beerschot VA -
Mandel United -
Hasselt -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
1/16-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -