Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Merelbeke vs Eupen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Delaurier-Chaubet L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Merelbeke
15%
Draws
39%
Eupen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Merelbeke

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Eupen have won more games recently than Merelbeke.
  • Model gives Merelbeke a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Eupen arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Eupen, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Merelbeke Clean Sheet 19%
Eupen Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merelbeke Eupen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 18
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.52 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Belgian Cup
Merelbeke vs Eupen
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Merelbeke Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Eupen Compare

Top Goalscorer Delaurier-Chaubet L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merelbeke 36 / 100
Eupen 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merelbeke Eupen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merelbeke found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Eupen conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Merelbeke remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Eupen's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Merelbeke VS Eupen
1 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Merelbeke

(Home)
06 Nov
Merelbeke
2 : 1
Heist
30 Oct
Merelbeke
0 : 4
SK Roeselare
24 Oct
Houtvenne
1 : 1
Merelbeke
18 Oct
Knokke
0 : 3
Merelbeke
11 Oct
Merelbeke
0 : 2
Mandel United
Page 1 of 6

Eupen

(Away)
12 Nov
Genk
1 : 3
Eupen
08 Nov
Lierse SK
2 : 3
Eupen
01 Nov
Eupen
1 : 2
Virton
25 Oct
Eupen
1 : 2
Beerschot VA
18 Oct
KV Mechelen
5 : 1
Eupen
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Heist 3
Kortrijk 2
TBD -
Antwerp -
Leuven -
TBD -
Diegem 0
Francs Borains 1
Waregem -
TBD -
Knokke 2
RFC Seraing 5
Mandel United 1
Hasselt 3
TBD -
Cercle Brugge -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
Nijlen 3
Boom 1
Westerlo -
TBD -
SK Roeselare 1
Patro Eisden 2
Londerzeel 0
Renaissance Mons 4
TBD -
Charleroi -
St. Truiden -
TBD -
Diksmuide Oostende 0
Lommel SK 2
Club Brugge -
TBD -
Houtvenne 0
Sporting Lokeren 5
SK Beveren -
TBD -
OC Charleroi 1
Habay La Neuve 2
RAAL La Louviere -
TBD -
RFC Liege 4
Wellen 1
St. Liege -
TBD -
Hoogstraten 0
Dender 6
Crossing Schaerbeek 3
Beerschot VA 5
TBD -
Anderlecht -
Oostkamp 0
Virton 3
TBD -
Genk -
Union Rochefortoise 3
Lierse SK 2
TBD -
Gent -
KV Mechelen -
TBD -
Merelbeke 0
Eupen 1
1/16-finals
Heist 0
Antwerp 1
Leuven 1
Francs Borains 0
Waregem 3
RFC Seraing 0
Hasselt 1
Cercle Brugge 2
Royale Union SG 3
Nijlen 0
Westerlo 2
Patro Eisden 0
Renaissance Mons 0
Charleroi 1
St. Truiden 4
Lommel SK 1
Club Brugge 1
Sporting Lokeren 0
SK Beveren 3
Habay La Neuve 0
RAAL La Louviere 4
RFC Liege 0
St. Liege 2
Dender 0
Beerschot VA 2
Anderlecht 1
Virton 0
Genk 2
Union Rochefortoise 4
Gent 3
KV Mechelen 5
Eupen 1
1/8-finals
Antwerp -
Leuven -
Waregem -
Cercle Brugge -
Royale Union SG -
Westerlo -
Charleroi -
St. Truiden -
Club Brugge -
SK Beveren -
RAAL La Louviere -
St. Liege -
Beerschot VA -
Genk -
Union Rochefortoise -
KV Mechelen -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -