Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Merelbeke vs Lierse SK

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Merelbeke and Lierse SK finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lierse SK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Merelbeke
30%
Draws
35%
Lierse SK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Merelbeke come out ahead of Lierse SK on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Merelbeke Clean Sheet 10%
Lierse SK Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merelbeke Lierse SK
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 2 8
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.59 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.02 2.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Merelbeke vs Lierse SK
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merelbeke 30 / 100
Lierse SK 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merelbeke Lierse SK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lierse SK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merelbeke scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Lierse SK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Merelbeke stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Merelbeke VS Lierse SK
1.29 Goals Scored 1.88
2.43 Goals Conceded 0.75
86% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 38%
71% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Merelbeke

(Home)
06 Sept
Merelbeke
3 : 1
Cercle Brugge 2
28 Aug
Hoogstraten
2 : 3
Merelbeke
08 Aug
Merelbeke
0 : 2
Lierse SK
27 Jun
Merelbeke
1 : 6
Gent
26 Apr
Ninove
3 : 1
Merelbeke
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Lierse SK

(Away)
06 Sept
Lierse SK
0 : 0
RFC Liege
30 Aug
RFC Seraing
1 : 1
Lierse SK
22 Aug
Lierse SK
2 : 1
Patro Eisden
15 Aug
Virton
3 : 0
Lierse SK
09 Aug
Thes Sport
1 : 1
Lierse SK
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