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Merelbeke vs SK Roeselare Prediction & H2H Stats

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Himpe K.
18' Event
Ponnet B.
47' Event
Libbrecht R.

AI Match Summary

The National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 game between Merelbeke and SK Roeselare finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SK Roeselare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Merelbeke
20%
Draws
38%
SK Roeselare
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Merelbeke

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SK Roeselare come out ahead of Merelbeke on wins alone.
  • Model gives Merelbeke a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Merelbeke Clean Sheet 10%
SK Roeselare Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merelbeke SK Roeselare
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 13
Draws 2 10
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.61 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Merelbeke vs SK Roeselare
1:3
Sep 21, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
SK Roeselare vs Merelbeke
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Merelbeke Compare

Top Goalscorer Ponnet B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

SK Roeselare Compare

Top Goalscorer Himpe K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Libbrecht R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merelbeke 40 / 100
SK Roeselare 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merelbeke SK Roeselare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merelbeke's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

SK Roeselare has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Merelbeke stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Merelbeke VS SK Roeselare
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Merelbeke

(Home)
27 Sept
Merelbeke
0 : 1
Eupen
20 Sept
Merelbeke
3 : 0
KRC Harelbeke
13 Sept
Belisia Bilzen
1 : 0
Merelbeke
06 Sept
Merelbeke
3 : 1
Cercle Brugge 2
28 Aug
Hoogstraten
2 : 3
Merelbeke
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SK Roeselare

(Away)
26 Sept
SK Roeselare
1 : 2
Patro Eisden
20 Sept
Tienen
1 : 1
SK Roeselare
13 Sept
SK Roeselare
1 : 0
Mandel United
06 Sept
Zelzate
0 : 3
SK Roeselare
30 Aug
SK Roeselare
1 : 1
Belisia Bilzen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hasselt 30 19 5 6 76:28 62
2 Knokke 30 19 4 7 56:44 61
3 SK Roeselare 30 15 9 6 52:33 54
4 Belisia Bilzen 30 15 7 8 62:43 52
5 Hoogstraten 30 14 9 7 54:42 51
6 Thes Sport 30 14 8 8 44:34 50
7 K. Lyra-Lierse 30 12 7 11 45:44 43
8 Dessel 30 11 6 13 61:65 39
9 Tienen 30 11 5 14 38:46 38
10 Cercle Brugge 2 30 10 8 12 41:53 38
11 Merelbeke 30 11 3 16 42:49 36
12 Zelzate 30 10 6 14 52:61 36
13 Leuven B 30 10 3 17 56:64 33
14 Houtvenne 30 8 7 15 40:53 31
15 Diegem 30 7 7 16 52:69 28
16 Ninove 30 5 4 21 40:83 19
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