Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal

Merelinense

2 - 0

Atletico Arcos

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%

Merelinense

20%

Draws

Atletico Arcos

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Merelinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence

Merelinense have won more games recently than Atletico Arcos.
74% — that's where the model lands on Merelinense taking it.
Merelinense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Merelinense, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Merelinense here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Merelinense Clean Sheet 20%

Atletico Arcos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Merelinense	Atletico Arcos
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	10	7
Draws	9	6
Losses	10	17
Goals Scored	1.41	0.9
Goals Conceded	1.24	1.47
Expected Goals (xG)	1.44	0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Taça de Portugal

Merelinense vs Atletico Arcos

2:0

Mar 31, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Merelinense vs Atletico Arcos

3:1

Dec 3, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Atletico Arcos vs Merelinense

0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merelinense 85 / 100

Atletico Arcos 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Merelinense Atletico Arcos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merelinense Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merelinense scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Atletico Arcos conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Merelinense went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Merelinense VS Atletico Arcos

1 Goals Scored 0.75

0 Goals Conceded 1.88

50% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Merelinense

(Home)

30 Aug

Merelinense

2 : 0

Atletico Arcos

16 Apr

Merelinense

1 : 0

Tirsense

08 Apr

Vilar de Perdizes

1 : 1

Merelinense

02 Apr

Merelinense

2 : 1

Desportivo Moncao

19 Mar

Merelinense

2 : 1

Pedras Salgadas

Page 1 of 6

Atletico Arcos

(Away)

30 Aug

Merelinense

2 : 0

Atletico Arcos

13 Apr

Paredes

1 : 1

Atletico Arcos

05 Apr

Atletico Arcos

1 : 3

AD Limianos

29 Mar

Dumiense

3 : 2

Atletico Arcos

16 Mar

Brito

3 : 1

Atletico Arcos

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Montijo 0

Atletico CP 4

TBD -

Lagoa -

Nogueirense 1

Naval 1893 3

TBD -

FC Felgueiras -

Caldas SC 1

Sintrense 3

TBD -

AFS -

Covilha 0

Mortagua FC 1

TBD -

Leca -

Oliveirense 4

Penalva do Castelo 0

TBD -

Penafiel -

SC Salgueiros 2

Sousense 1

TBD -

Feirense -

Cinfaes 1

SC Espinho 0

TBD -

Leixoes -

O Elvas CAD 9

Sao Roque 0

TBD -

Leiria -

1º Dezembro 0

Real SC 1

TBD -

Academica -

Castro Daire -

TBD -

Portimonense -

Sacavenense 5

SC Angrense 0

TBD -

SC Farense -

Vila Pouca -

TBD -

Brito -

Ac. Fundao 0

Guarda FC 6

TBD -

Chaves -

Alcains 1

Sertanense 0

TBD -

Vitoria Setubal -

Bombarralense -

TBD -

Vizela -

Fazendense 1

Mocarriense 0

TBD -

Figueirense -

GD Alcochetense 8

Fayal 0

C.F. Benfica 3

Viana Alentejo 0

Oliveira Hospital 1

GD Sourense 0

Uniao Montemor 1

Juv. Evora 4

Beira Mar 4

Uniao Lamas 3

Lusitano GC 1

CF Os Belenenses 2

Correlha 1

AD Limianos 4

Ferreiras 0

Aljustrelense 3

Serpa 2

Grandolense 0

Castrense 0

Louletano 1

Rebordosa 2

FC Alpendorada 3

Macao 5

CF Os Gavionenses 0

Anca -

TBD -

Sanjoanense 3

Pacos de Brandao 0

Machico 2

Camacha 3

Florgrade 1

Sao Joao de Ver 0

Pacos Ferreira 0

AD Fafe 1

TBD -

Lajense -

SC Barreiro 2

FC Madalena 5

TBD -

Lusitania FC -

CDC Montalegre 0

Ponte da Barca 1

TBD -

Amarante FC -

ACDR Lamelas -

TBD -

Portalegrense 0

Santo Antonio 3

Olhanense -

TBD -

Messejanense 0

Portel 8

Santarem -

TBD -

Merelinense 2

Atletico Arcos 0

GD Os Nazarenos 0

Vitoria Sernache 3

Varzim 5

Trofense 1

Regua 0

AD Marco 09 1

Maia Lidador 1

Vila Mea 0

Rebordelo 0

GD Braganca 4

Celoricense 1

Pevidem 0

Ermesinde 1

Paredes 3

Maria de Fonte 1

Uniao Nogueirense 0

Imortal -

TBD -

Tondela -

Malveira 2

Mafra 3

TBD -

Tirsense -

Fatima 3

SB Castelo Branco 1

TBD -

Vinhais -

UD Ovarense -

TBD -

Fornos de Algodres 0

Os Marialvas 4

Amora -

TBD -

Uniao Da Serra 5

Uniao de Pombal 0

Estrela Calheta -

TBD -

SC Vianense 8

Minas de Argozelo 0

TBD -

1/64-finals

Atletico CP -

Lagoa -

Naval 1893 -

FC Felgueiras -

Sintrense -

AFS -

Mortagua FC -

Leca -

Oliveirense -

Penafiel -

SC Salgueiros -

Feirense -

Cinfaes -

Leixoes -

O Elvas CAD -

Leiria -

Real SC -

Academica -

Castro Daire -

Portimonense -

Sacavenense -

SC Farense -

Vila Pouca -

Brito -

Guarda FC -

Chaves -

Alcains -

Vitoria Setubal -

Bombarralense -

Vizela -

Fazendense -

Figueirense -

GD Alcochetense -

C.F. Benfica -

Oliveira Hospital -

Juv. Evora -

Beira Mar -

CF Os Belenenses -

AD Limianos -

Aljustrelense -

Serpa -

Louletano -

FC Alpendorada -

Macao -

Anca -

Sanjoanense -

Camacha -

Florgrade -

AD Fafe -

Lajense -

FC Madalena -

Lusitania FC -

Ponte da Barca -

Amarante FC -

ACDR Lamelas -

Santo Antonio -

Olhanense -

Portel -

Santarem -

Merelinense -

Vitoria Sernache -

Varzim -

AD Marco 09 -

Maia Lidador -

GD Braganca -

Celoricense -

Paredes -

Maria de Fonte -

Imortal -

Tondela -

Mafra -

Tirsense -

Fatima -

Vinhais -

UD Ovarense -

Os Marialvas -

Amora -

Uniao Da Serra -

Estrela Calheta -

SC Vianense -

TBD -

1/32-finals

TBD -

1/16-finals

TBD -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Merelinense vs Atletico Arcos

Portugal

Merelinense

Atletico Arcos

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Merelinense

Atletico Arcos

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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