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Merelinense vs GD Braganca Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 game between Merelinense and GD Braganca finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merelinense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Merelinense
20%
Draws
45%
GD Braganca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: GD Braganca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • GD Braganca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans GD Braganca's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Merelinense have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Merelinense Clean Sheet 10%
GD Braganca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merelinense GD Braganca
Matches Played 30 43
Wins 10 24
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.37 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.95
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Merelinense vs GD Braganca
3:0
Nov 20, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
GD Braganca vs Merelinense
2:2
Mar 7, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Merelinense vs GD Braganca
3:2
Dec 6, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
GD Braganca vs Merelinense
0:3
Feb 9, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Merelinense vs GD Braganca
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merelinense 10 / 100
GD Braganca 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merelinense GD Braganca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Braganca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Merelinense scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

GD Braganca let in goals in 65% of their last 43 matches.

Merelinense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Merelinense VS GD Braganca
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Merelinense

(Home)
20 Sept
Santarem
5 : 0
Merelinense
30 Aug
Merelinense
2 : 0
Atletico Arcos
16 Apr
Merelinense
1 : 0
Tirsense
08 Apr
Vilar de Perdizes
1 : 1
Merelinense
02 Apr
Merelinense
2 : 1
Desportivo Moncao
Page 1 of 6

GD Braganca

(Away)
20 Sept
GD Braganca
6 : 1
Celoricense
13 Sept
GD Braganca
3 : 0
Ponte da Barca
06 Sept
Maia Lidador
0 : 1
GD Braganca
30 Aug
Rebordelo
0 : 4
GD Braganca
23 Aug
GD Braganca
0 : 0
Braga B
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Vianense 26 16 5 5 37:19 53
2 Amarante FC 26 14 9 3 43:25 51
3 Tirsense 26 14 2 10 39:25 44
4 Pevidem 26 13 4 9 37:30 43
5 Vila Mea 26 11 6 9 39:30 39
6 Vilar de Perdizes 26 8 12 6 33:32 36
7 Brito 26 9 8 9 21:28 35
8 Dumiense 26 9 7 10 34:35 34
9 Merelinense 26 8 9 9 32:32 33
10 Pedras Salgadas 26 8 8 10 27:28 32
11 Desportivo Moncao 26 7 6 13 34:45 27
12 Maria de Fonte 26 6 7 13 27:45 25
13 Sao Martinho 26 5 9 12 24:34 24
14 GD Braganca 26 5 6 15 20:39 21
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)