Sport Picks
Merida UD vs RCP Valverdeno Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
20%
34%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Merida UD
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Merida UD have won more games recently than RCP Valverdeno.
- Merida UD are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Merida UD Clean Sheet 20%
RCP Valverdeno Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Merida UD | RCP Valverdeno |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 21 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 3 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.57 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
RCP Valverdeno vs Merida UD
1:4
Sep 29, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Merida UD vs RCP Valverdeno
0:0
Mar 23, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Merida UD vs RCP Valverdeno
1:1
Nov 4, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
RCP Valverdeno vs Merida UD
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Merida UD 76 / 100
RCP Valverdeno 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Merida UD RCP Valverdeno
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Merida UD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Merida UD scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: RCP Valverdeno conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.25 goals.
Merida UD went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS RCP Valverdeno
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Merida UD
(Home) 22 Jun
Langreo
1 : 0 Merida UD
15 Jun
Merida UD
0 : 0 Langreo
08 Jun
Merida UD
1 : 1 AD San Juan
31 May
AD San Juan
0 : 1 Merida UD
25 May
Merida UD
2 : 0 Real Avila
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15 Jun
Merida UD
0 : 0 Langreo
08 Jun
Merida UD
1 : 1 AD San Juan
25 May
Merida UD
2 : 0 Real Avila
04 May
Merida UD
1 : 1 Castuera
27 Apr
Merida UD
3 : 1 Jerez CF
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RCP Valverdeno
(Away) 21 Aug
RCP Valverdeno
0 : 2 SP Villafranca
12 May
RCP Valverdeno
6 : 2 CD Calamonte
05 May
Don Alvaro
0 : 1 RCP Valverdeno
28 Apr
RCP Valverdeno
1 : 2 Pueblonuevo
21 Apr
RCP Valverdeno
0 : 2 CD Azuaga
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05 May
Don Alvaro
0 : 1 RCP Valverdeno
14 Apr
SP Villafranca
4 : 1 RCP Valverdeno
30 Mar
Don Benito
2 : 0 RCP Valverdeno
17 Mar
Castuera
2 : 1 RCP Valverdeno
03 Mar
Arroyo
1 : 1 RCP Valverdeno
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Extremadura UD | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 75:14 | 89 |
| 2 | UD Badajoz | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 67:24 | 80 |
| 3 | Don Benito | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 55:23 | 79 |
| 4 | Diter Zafra | 38 | 22 | 11 | 5 | 57:23 | 77 |
| 5 | Jerez CF | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 51:37 | 59 |
| 6 | Merida UD | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 47:38 | 56 |
| 7 | Ciduad de Plasencia | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 50:38 | 55 |
| 8 | UP Plasencia | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 55:47 | 55 |
| 9 | Santa Amalia | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 52:54 | 53 |
| 10 | CD Coria | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 47:48 | 51 |
| 11 | Atletico San Jose Promesas | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 44:58 | 48 |
| 12 | Pueblonuevo | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 41:60 | 43 |
| 13 | Miajadas | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 40:56 | 43 |
| 14 | RCP Valverdeno | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40:56 | 42 |
| 15 | Hernan Cortes | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 36:64 | 41 |
| 16 | Cacereno II | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 48:57 | 40 |
| 17 | Fuente de Cantos | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:68 | 39 |
| 18 | Moralo | 38 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 33:52 | 38 |
| 19 | Emerita Augusta | 38 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 44:77 | 31 |
| 20 | Valdelacalzada | 38 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 35:65 | 28 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
